World Perspectives

Dissecting the Trade War; Squashing Losers

Dissecting the Trade War Wrong Goal: During this past weekend’s bilateral negotiations, China offered to buy $70 billion worth of American farm, energy and other products – but only if the U.S. immediately reversed course on imposing tariffs. The Trump administration has declined, seeing the energy purchases as merely redirected trade from other buyers and understanding the near-term limits of farm export supplies. This is precisely why the negotiation should involve the concession of improved trading terms (reduced tariffs and nontariff barriers) and not micro-management of specific transactional outcomes. Wrong Coverage: Journalists like Margaret Brennan now regret the way they covered trade in the 2016 election. She says th...

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Market Commentary: CBOT Gains to Close Week; Wheat Firms on Bullish News

The CBOT was mostly higher to end a mostly bearish week with wheat leading the way on several mildly bullish developments. Wheat futures saw price-supportive development in the IGC’s lower 2024/25 global ending stocks forecast, dryness in the U.S. Southern Plains, and smaller Russian 2024...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

Based on futures’ price action late last week and early this week, one would be expecting funds to have been net sellers in the major ag commodities, and that’s exactly what happened. Funds expanded their short soybean position by some 30,000 contracts, making it a new five-year low...

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Cattle on Feed Report: Placements and Marketings Dropped Sharply

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. Total inventory, placements and marketings all came in lower than the pre-report estimates, though total inventory was at the same volume or higher than last year for the seventh consecutive month. Placements came in well below the average...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Gains to Close Week; Wheat Firms on Bullish News

The CBOT was mostly higher to end a mostly bearish week with wheat leading the way on several mildly bullish developments. Wheat futures saw price-supportive development in the IGC’s lower 2024/25 global ending stocks forecast, dryness in the U.S. Southern Plains, and smaller Russian 2024...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Based on futures’ price action late last week and early this week, one would be expecting funds to have been net sellers in the major ag commodities, and that’s exactly what happened. Funds expanded their short soybean position by some 30,000 contracts, making it a new five-year low...

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Cattle on Feed Report: Placements and Marketings Dropped Sharply

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 24 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Wheat closed at $5.6675/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.505/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soymeal closed at $343.2/short ton, up $5.8 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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