World Perspectives
livestock

Doubt About China’s Pork Renaissance

The Chinese government says it wants to restore domestic pork production to its prior glory, but history sheds doubt on its prospects. As noted previously, ASF has had a demonstrably larger impact on China than did BSE on Europe, and yet EU beef production and consumption have never fully recovered. Beef consumption in Europe today is 10 percent lower than it was a decade ago.  Japan was also impacted by BSE, though on an import basis. Tokyo banned imports of beef from America following the outbreak of BSE in the U.S. in 2003. Australia became a larger alternative supplier, but still total Japanese beef imports fell by 24 percent and domestic consumption dropped by 13 percent. A recovery has only been noticeable in the last few years...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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