World Perspectives

Economic Conundrum; Trade Adjustment Assistance

Economic Conundrum The West turned unhappy with China’s trade and economic practices before Donald Trump, but it is unclear that his approach to the problem is working. While the trade hit on U.S. agriculture is clear, the American side is generally faring worse from the trade war. China’s overall exports to the U.S. were down 12.4 percent during January-June 2019 versus a year earlier, but American sales to China were off 19 percent. Indicative of Beijing’s stronger level of economic control over Washington is its foreign direct investment (FDI) in the U.S., which plummeted from $46 billion in 2016 to just $5 billion in 2018. By contrast, U.S. annual FDI into China has stayed consistent at around $13-14 billion. Even i...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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