World Perspectives
biofuel

Ethanol Starting Out Marketing Year Strong; Vilsack Says RVOs Coming

USDA released the October Grain Crushings report today; total corn use for fuel alcohol was up 16 percent from October 2020, and up 15 percent from September. Ethanol production in October was a record. For the first two months of the marketing year, ethanol use of corn is 876.83 million bushels, up 4.8 percent over the same period in 2020.  Meanwhile, ethanol production remained strong through the first three weeks of November. For the September-November period (MY Q1) ethanol production is running 101 percent of the same period in 2019, and 108 percent of 2020. As we reported on 1 November, EIA is forecasting CY 2022 at an average of 1 million barrels per day. That compares to 1.03 million barrels per day in CY 2019.  ...

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Extends Losses; Corn, Soyoil Strengthen; Hogs Rally on ASF News

The CBOT was mostly lower in low-volume, pre-holiday trade. Monday is a holiday in the U.S. and the CBOT/CME (and WPI’s offices) will be closed. Notable developments for the day were the turnaround in corn and soyoil futures, which were juxtaposed against the continued technical weakness...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 22 Corn closed at $5.9625/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Mar 22 Wheat closed at $7.415/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Mar 22 Soybeans closed at $13.6975/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 22 Soymeal closed at $405.6/short ton, down $3...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Extends Losses; Corn, Soyoil Strengthen; Hogs Rally on ASF News

The CBOT was mostly lower in low-volume, pre-holiday trade. Monday is a holiday in the U.S. and the CBOT/CME (and WPI’s offices) will be closed. Notable developments for the day were the turnaround in corn and soyoil futures, which were juxtaposed against the continued technical weakness...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 22 Corn closed at $5.9625/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Mar 22 Wheat closed at $7.415/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Mar 22 Soybeans closed at $13.6975/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 22 Soymeal closed at $405.6/short ton, down $3...

biofuel

RINs Rumors and Fuel Use Outlook

Ethanol RINs dropped this week on news reports that EPA might consider lowering the 15 billion gallon required volume obligation (RVO) for 2022. This came after two months of steady increases based on a bright outlook for retail motor fuel use this year. Recall on 7 December, the Administration...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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