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European Market Analysis

Milling Wheat  Wheat markets remain under pressure as Western Europe and Black Sea exports battle each other and the American markets for export demand. Paris Matif futures were sharply lower last week and scored new contract lows and a post-WASDE rally on Friday brought additional selling pressure on Monday. EU exporters are facing increased competition from Russia as firms there try to accelerate shipments ahead of the 15 February implementation of the export quota. The export quota may not impact grain flows significantly as it would still permit over 5 MMT per month to leave Russia. Additional pressure is coming this week from yet-unconfirmed rumors that Russia’s government lowered the “minimum/suggested” wheat e...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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