Last week’s Commitment of Traders (COT) report confirmed that funds (i.e., managed money) continued to expand their short positions in corn, soybeans, soymeal and wheat to either record-large levels or very nearly so. They had very little opposition to pressing the short side before last Friday’s USDA WASDE, and that report simply added a little more fuel to the short-side fire by reducing the U.S. wheat and corn export forecasts. The wheat market has been especially bearish over the last month. The Chicago March wheat contract has declined nearly a $1.00/bushel since 14 February.
Chicago wheat futures are now within 10-20 cents/bushel of the prices they’ve traded at since 2010, which is a remarkable collapse no matter...
What You Need to Know Today: Crude oil prices extended their rally today, supported by several developments, including escalating Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure and growing concerns about supply disruptions. The Trump administration is reportedly preparing to remove 50 perc...
Key Takeaways: The agricultural trade surplus has become a sizable deficit: the balance swung from a $40.1 billion surplus in 2011 to a $40.7 billion deficit in 2025. Imports kept growing while exports lost momentum: between 2020 and 2025, agricultural imports increased 45 percent, compa...
USDA released its October Cattle on Feed report Friday, showing 11.4 million cattle in feedlots with capacity for 1,000 head or more, slightly below last year. September placements were the lowest for the month since records began in 1996, marking the third consecutive month of placements sett...
Regional News Dry weather across the UK and Europe is becoming increasingly concerning for the 2027 crops as planting intentions are lowered amid dry soil conditions. Delayed sowing or establishment under adverse conditions could leave crops more vulnerable to frost/freeze events and dise...
