World Perspectives

Good/Bad Trade War; Government Procurement Challenge; POTUS Contender and Commodity Outlook

Good/Bad Trade War Political analysts correctly note how the Trump trade war has “scrambled” the politics in both major political parties. Politicians do not like to be wrong, and so the most common refrain is that Mr. Trump could have used a different course to address China’s wrongful behavior. Furthermore, now that he has started a war, the best thing he could do is to “quickly negotiate the best deal possible.” The White House knows that anything but the most irrefutable good deal with China will be used against him in the 2020 campaign. Beijing’s recalcitrance only plays into Mr. Trump’s hardline approach. American farmers will continue to be the collateral damage in a trade war that is long-t...

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Game of Chicken; Hard and Fast Numbers; Glyphosate Addiction

Game of Chicken U.S. officials were celebrating China’s announcement that after half a dozen years of bogus excuses for keeping out American poultry, Beijing opened its market. The announcement came a week after the U.S. announced the opening of its market to cooked Chinese poultry meat...

livestock

Livestock Round Up

China Opens to Chicken On 31 October, we reported that its was expected that broilers would be included in any U.S. China trade deal, and although that deal remains elusive, China announced today that it would open its market up to U.S. poultry. The access is effective immediately.  As we...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

After a week of rolling, November contracts expired today and liquidation begins in the December contract. Otherwise, the market remains caught in sideways trading, which pushes opportunity into the spread trade. The USDA Export Sales report would ordinarily have influenced the day, but it is p...

Game of Chicken; Hard and Fast Numbers; Glyphosate Addiction

Game of Chicken U.S. officials were celebrating China’s announcement that after half a dozen years of bogus excuses for keeping out American poultry, Beijing opened its market. The announcement came a week after the U.S. announced the opening of its market to cooked Chinese poultry meat...

livestock

Livestock Round Up

China Opens to Chicken On 31 October, we reported that its was expected that broilers would be included in any U.S. China trade deal, and although that deal remains elusive, China announced today that it would open its market up to U.S. poultry. The access is effective immediately.  As we...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

After a week of rolling, November contracts expired today and liquidation begins in the December contract. Otherwise, the market remains caught in sideways trading, which pushes opportunity into the spread trade. The USDA Export Sales report would ordinarily have influenced the day, but it is p...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.7575/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jan 20 Soybeans closed at $9.1675/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $303.1/short ton, down $1 fr...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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