World Perspectives
equities

Historical Coronavirus Impacts

While agricultural commodity values have been adversely impacted by the latest coronavirus afflicting human populations, it has been nothing like the beating being taken by the equities markets. In both cases there is a view that the selloff has been exaggerated. In the parlance of Chicago, oversold. Some Wall Street advisories are jumping ahead and saying now is the time to buy. Unfortunately, history may rhyme but it doesn’t necessarily repeat.  The last major outbreak of a coronavirus was the SARS-CoV event in 2003. That version was not as widespread or as deadly as the current COVID-19, though it did have a higher mortality rate. Both events mostly impacted China but the Middle Kingdom’s economic influence on the world...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Market Commentary: Major Markets Bullish for Different Reasons

The CBOT was mostly higher for the day with each of the major markets rallying based on different sets of fundamental reasons.  Corn was the decided upside leader as the 14-day forecast remains hot and dry for the central and Eastern Corn Belt. The shift towards persistent dry weather is c...

Diverging Data on Jobs

As WPI has reported many times over the past two years, conventional economic data is difficult to decipher because the impact of COVID and its aftermath were anything but conventional. It was concurrently an increase in consumer spending power and demand, while a slow-down, to shut down in eco...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Market Commentary: Major Markets Bullish for Different Reasons

The CBOT was mostly higher for the day with each of the major markets rallying based on different sets of fundamental reasons.  Corn was the decided upside leader as the 14-day forecast remains hot and dry for the central and Eastern Corn Belt. The shift towards persistent dry weather is c...

Diverging Data on Jobs

As WPI has reported many times over the past two years, conventional economic data is difficult to decipher because the impact of COVID and its aftermath were anything but conventional. It was concurrently an increase in consumer spending power and demand, while a slow-down, to shut down in eco...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 23 Corn closed at $6.09/bushel, up $0.165 from yesterday's close.  Jul 23 Wheat closed at $6.19/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Jul 23 Soybeans closed at $13.525/bushel, up $0.23 from yesterday's close.  Jul 23 Soymeal closed at $397.8/short ton, down $3.6 from ye...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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