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India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

  Record Sugar Production Expected as Prices Tumble and Arrears Mount India’s sugar production for 2017/18 (October-September) is now expected to total 30.3 MMT, up from the previous estimate of 29.5 MMT. The production cycle is coming to an end with output reaching a high of 28.18 MMT for the first six months of the year. Since the start of the season, the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) spot prices have dropped 19.97 percent. As sugar prices continue to slide lower because of selling pressure, the sugar companies are unable to pay farmers on time, and the arrears swelled to $2.44 billion by the end of March with the possibility of rising further. The government of India (GOI) has removed the 20 percent ex...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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