World Perspectives

Inflation Trumps Trade Policy; Grain but not Freedom; Non-cyclical Labor

Inflation Trumps Trade Policy USTR Katherine Tai threw in the towel this week and conceded that reducing tariffs on Chinese goods is among the Biden Administration’s policy options. She qualified that this is true as long as it does not undermine longer-term efforts to encourage China to end unfair trade practices, but in the end her effort to maintain leverage over China lost out to the White House goal of lowering inflation. The tariffs imposed by former President Trump were called a trade policy “gift” to the Biden Administration, but they seem unlikely to be resumed even when the inflationary pressures subside. Grain but not Freedom Agriculture Minister Cem Özdemir says Germany will help get grain exported out...

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The Q1 2024 GDP was 1.6 percent, well below the pre-report consensus expectation of 2.4 percent, and down from 3.1 percent in Q1 2023 and 3.4 percent in Q4 2023. That rate was the slowest in almost two years, dating back to Q2 2022.  Recall that in the 2 February Ag Perspectives report on...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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