World Perspectives

Interest Rate Outlook

The Fed meets next week, the day after the election. It looks likely there will be a rate cut again for the second time in as many meetings. The federal funds futures market is pricing in a 95.4 percent probability of a cut. At the September meeting, Fed members signaled another 50 basis point cuts before the end of the year, which is looking to be 25 basis points at each of the November and December meetings. At its September meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cut the federal funds interest rate by 50 basis points. The key takeaway from that half-point reduction, given that historically most rate cuts are 25 percentage points, is that the Fed has at least marginally switched its focus away from inflation and toward the...

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Food Fight Ahead; UPF Boogeyman

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From WPI Consulting

Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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