World Perspectives
biofuel

King and Queen Pillage the Village

King corn is losing a battle with Queen soybeans, and this has activated the politicians for another round of support. Renewable diesel is projected to increase five-fold from 1 billion to 5 billion gallons by 2026. Almost $2.6 billion is being invested in increased soybean crush capacity to meet this demand. It will require around 1.5 billion additional bushels of soybeans and creates three problems for corn: An edge in the battle for acres. Demand drives up profitability and farmers will grow beans instead of corn. Increased competition around coproducts. There will be a surplus of 35 million short tons of soybean meal competing with DDGS.  Winning RINs. Renewable biodiesel has a better GHG reduction value and its RINs will outc...

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Political Risk to Agribusiness

The Biden Administration and others have already shown their animosity toward Big Ag. Heading into 2024 the hate may grow larger. The President’s reelection campaign, and that of the Democratic Party, is threatened by voter dissatisfaction with the economy. Specifically, they are upset ab...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fewer Bears Ahead of WASDE

Confidence in short positions was slightly challenged today as traders positioned ahead of tomorrow’s USDA December WASDE. January soybeans jumped back 16.25 cents today, though not enough to offset a string of earlier double-digit losses. Thus far this week, January soybeans are down 13...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.88/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.4225/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jan 24 Soybeans closed at $13.1175/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jan 24 Soymeal closed at $406.8/short ton, down $1.7 f...

Political Risk to Agribusiness

The Biden Administration and others have already shown their animosity toward Big Ag. Heading into 2024 the hate may grow larger. The President’s reelection campaign, and that of the Democratic Party, is threatened by voter dissatisfaction with the economy. Specifically, they are upset ab...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fewer Bears Ahead of WASDE

Confidence in short positions was slightly challenged today as traders positioned ahead of tomorrow’s USDA December WASDE. January soybeans jumped back 16.25 cents today, though not enough to offset a string of earlier double-digit losses. Thus far this week, January soybeans are down 13...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.88/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.4225/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jan 24 Soybeans closed at $13.1175/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jan 24 Soymeal closed at $406.8/short ton, down $1.7 f...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for November 24-30, 2023. Wheat:  Net sales of 356,400 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down 43 percent from the previous week, but up 8 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 198,900 MT were down 42 percent from the previous week and 27 pe...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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