Crop land values appreciated significantly during the long tail of COVID impacts. It was predictable. Commodity prices were increasing. Inflation was high, with land being a good hedge. Additionally, interest rates were low through 2021 and into Q1 of 2022.
But with all that changing – moderating inflation, relatively high interest rates, and declining commodity prices - what will farmland value look like moving forward? As of two weeks ago, the Federal Funds futures market was pricing in a more than 97 percent chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged at its meeting on 31 January, and an expectation that rates will be cut at the 1 May meeting. Nonetheless, higher borrowing and carrying costs have impacted farmers&rsqu...
What You Need to Know Today: Crude oil prices extended their rally today, supported by several developments, including escalating Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure and growing concerns about supply disruptions. The Trump administration is reportedly preparing to remove 50 perc...
Key Takeaways: The agricultural trade surplus has become a sizable deficit: the balance swung from a $40.1 billion surplus in 2011 to a $40.7 billion deficit in 2025. Imports kept growing while exports lost momentum: between 2020 and 2025, agricultural imports increased 45 percent, compa...
USDA released its October Cattle on Feed report Friday, showing 11.4 million cattle in feedlots with capacity for 1,000 head or more, slightly below last year. September placements were the lowest for the month since records began in 1996, marking the third consecutive month of placements sett...
Total Red Meat & Poultry September 2026 total red meat and poultry stocks totaled 1.97 billion pounds, down 1.4 percent from August despite typically increasing 0.8 percent during the month, and were 1.5 percent below September 2025 levels. The decline pushed total inventories to a new five...
