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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

After testing bottoms earlier this week, the commodity market (like equities) reversed on short covering and moved higher. Fund buying was active, and the spread trade was pushed by major funds rolling their positions this week. The weather forecast suggests the possibility of some rain this weekend but not nearly enough for a hot and dry eastern part of the U.S. Midwest. Thus, the semblance of a weather premium is being put in place ahead of Monday’s release of USDA’s August WASDE. The report itself gives impetus for coverage. Most expect it to reduce the estimates for corn and soybean production as well as for corn and wheat stocks. The soybean carryover will be more plentiful due to China’s purchase embargo. On the pr...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Market Commentary: Major Markets Bullish for Different Reasons

The CBOT was mostly higher for the day with each of the major markets rallying based on different sets of fundamental reasons.  Corn was the decided upside leader as the 14-day forecast remains hot and dry for the central and Eastern Corn Belt. The shift towards persistent dry weather is c...

Diverging Data on Jobs

As WPI has reported many times over the past two years, conventional economic data is difficult to decipher because the impact of COVID and its aftermath were anything but conventional. It was concurrently an increase in consumer spending power and demand, while a slow-down, to shut down in eco...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

Market Commentary: Major Markets Bullish for Different Reasons

The CBOT was mostly higher for the day with each of the major markets rallying based on different sets of fundamental reasons.  Corn was the decided upside leader as the 14-day forecast remains hot and dry for the central and Eastern Corn Belt. The shift towards persistent dry weather is c...

Diverging Data on Jobs

As WPI has reported many times over the past two years, conventional economic data is difficult to decipher because the impact of COVID and its aftermath were anything but conventional. It was concurrently an increase in consumer spending power and demand, while a slow-down, to shut down in eco...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 23 Corn closed at $6.09/bushel, up $0.165 from yesterday's close.  Jul 23 Wheat closed at $6.19/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.  Jul 23 Soybeans closed at $13.525/bushel, up $0.23 from yesterday's close.  Jul 23 Soymeal closed at $397.8/short ton, down $3.6 from ye...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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