While grain and soy futures markets could not mount a successful rally yesterday as most outside markets did, prices for grains and the soy complex (except for soyoil) did manage to move higher today with much of the impetus coming from noncommercial short covering. General Comments The U.S. Energy Information Administration(EIA) reported that U.S. stocks of crude oil grew by 10.4 million barrels last week. That increase is about four times larger than analysts expected, pushing crude oil futures prices into quick retreat. However, the oil market is up about $7 from its 2016 low with most of the catalyst provided by hope for some sort of multinational agreement constraining oil production. Also helpful to the rally, though, has been trad...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
What You Need to Know Today: A third U.S. border crossing (Columbus, New Mexico) has reopened to Mexican cattle imports following nearly two years of restrictions related to New World screwworm. The reopening could gradually improve feeder cattle availability, although more than 60 confi...
Yesterday, the USDA’s Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) released a new report of negotiated cash purchases of cattle under the mandatory price report. The report included Colorado, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas. The goal of the report was to solve the confidentiality issues e...
Key Takeaways: U.S. soybean crushing began in 1911 and saw its most rapid expansion during the 1930s amid the broader agricultural and technology revolutions of the time. After peaking in the early 2000s, the soybean crushing industry went through a downturn as poor crush margins forced...