World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Big Bets on Tomorrow

The market is frothy. Tomorrow’s USDA WASDE report could affirm today’s relatively bullish sentiment, or it could break it on fundamentals. The question is whether USDA’s corrections in yield, production and stocks go as far as current guesses. In all likelihood, there will be some disappointment, and some satisfaction. Like equities before this week, commodities have been in a little melt up. There was some positioning ahead of tomorrow but not the usual kind. It was more risk on than risk off. Buy corn and wheat, sell soy. The December corn contract is now at a five-month high despite it being harvest time and amid record global stocks. The U.S. alone is facing more than 2 billion bushels in corn ending stocks.  T...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Tests Bulls Amid Macro Risk-Off

The CBOT issued its first real test of bull’s commitment since the present rally started in August. Wheat futures posted a key reversal while corn futures and the soy complex pulled back sharply. Funds were noted sellers, following Friday’s massive gain in open interest across nearl...

feed-grains wheat

Aid for Agriculture

During the last decade, the total amount of multilateral donations to least-developed countries for agriculture increased by 80 percent. The share of all financial aid to poor countries that is geared toward agriculture rose by 48 percent. Over that same period, only cowpeas experienced any sig...

biofuel soy-oilseeds

EPA Moving Down Biofuels’ Policy Checklist

After last week’s EPA announcement on gap year SREs, the agency updated its actions on the SRE waivers, denying more than 50 petitions. There are still 17 left, but those are the petitions that as of July had not been reviewed by the Department of Energy (DOE). All the retroactive petitio...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Tests Bulls Amid Macro Risk-Off

The CBOT issued its first real test of bull’s commitment since the present rally started in August. Wheat futures posted a key reversal while corn futures and the soy complex pulled back sharply. Funds were noted sellers, following Friday’s massive gain in open interest across nearl...

feed-grains wheat

Aid for Agriculture

During the last decade, the total amount of multilateral donations to least-developed countries for agriculture increased by 80 percent. The share of all financial aid to poor countries that is geared toward agriculture rose by 48 percent. Over that same period, only cowpeas experienced any sig...

biofuel soy-oilseeds

EPA Moving Down Biofuels’ Policy Checklist

After last week’s EPA announcement on gap year SREs, the agency updated its actions on the SRE waivers, denying more than 50 petitions. There are still 17 left, but those are the petitions that as of July had not been reviewed by the Department of Energy (DOE). All the retroactive petitio...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Summary of Futures

Dec 20 Corn closed at $3.6975/bushel, down $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Dec 20 Wheat closed at $5.5475/bushel, down $0.2025 from yesterday's close.  Nov 20 Soybeans closed at $10.225/bushel, down $0.21 from yesterday's close.  Dec 20 Soymeal closed at $338.1/short ton, down $...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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