World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Rallies on Weather, Short Covering; Monetary Policy Turns Bullish Commodities

The  CBOT jumped sharply higher to start the new week with wheat leading the move with overnight strength. Fund short covering drove much of the day’s gains, but dryness in Brazil and the Black Sea, along with some rain-induced U.S. harvest delays, offered some fundamental motivations as well. Soybean futures managed to score a bullish technical day on the charts while wheat and corn are still technically range-bound, though threatening to break that outlook this week.  Also supporting the commodity trade are the recent moves by central banks around the world. Recent interest rate cuts and liquidity injections are leading to “buy commodities” trade from funds and investors. Between the U.S. Federal Reserves&rsqu...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.725/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293.3/short ton, down $4.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Reverses Course; Soyoil Rallies on Possible Tax Extension

The CBOT was mixed trade Tuesday following the May WASDE and USDA’s first complete look at the U.S. and world 2025/26 balance sheets. With the WASDE’s numbers now incorporated into futures prices the trade began looking for “what’s next”, which for corn meant a bea...

Phase II Deal; EU Strategy; Mimicking EU

Phase II Deal U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that a phase-one deal may be a model for trade talks with China. It may be the only model that would help U.S. farmers. Brazil still has a price edge on soybeans, and even a 10 percent tariff is enough to price out U.S. commodities...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.425/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soybeans closed at $10.725/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jul 25 Soymeal closed at $293.3/short ton, down $4.8 fr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Reverses Course; Soyoil Rallies on Possible Tax Extension

The CBOT was mixed trade Tuesday following the May WASDE and USDA’s first complete look at the U.S. and world 2025/26 balance sheets. With the WASDE’s numbers now incorporated into futures prices the trade began looking for “what’s next”, which for corn meant a bea...

Phase II Deal; EU Strategy; Mimicking EU

Phase II Deal U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested that a phase-one deal may be a model for trade talks with China. It may be the only model that would help U.S. farmers. Brazil still has a price edge on soybeans, and even a 10 percent tariff is enough to price out U.S. commodities...

wheat

Bearish Wheat Report, Bullish Foundation

USDA’s May WASDE report was perhaps surprisingly bearish wheat. Futures hit yet more new record lows again today. For the U.S., USDA found higher yields running into lower demand. Globally, the agency sees increasing production even in countries like Russia and China where conditions have...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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