World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Macroeconomic Shockwaves Create CBOT Jitters

The CBOT’s trade on Monday was initially focused on the weekend failure of two major banks, a fact that sent shockwaves through the macroeconomic markets to start the week. The biggest impact was heightened volatility and a strong “risk off” mentality that initially impacted CBOT trade. As the day wore on, however, the ag markets found their own footing somewhat independently of the moves in stocks, crude oil, and bonds. The day’s declines in the U.S. dollar helped push wheat futures higher, though weaker crude oil pressured soyoil and corn. Funds were net sellers across corn and the soy complex, but were slight net buyers of an estimated 4,000 contracts in wheat for the day. This week’s trade is likely to feat...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Extends Rally; Funds Cover Shorts Amid Widespread Futures Strength

The spring 2024 wheat rally continues as weather threats linger for the U.S., Europe, and the Black Sea. Weather forecasts that offer a challenging outlook for the 2024/25 Northern Hemisphere crop are forcing funds to keep exiting short positions, with the resulting positive technical developme...

Hecho en Mexico; Radical for Small; Impeach Tai?

Hecho en Mexico While outgoing Mexican president and populist AMLO tries to shutdown American farmers, the U.S. government just keeps giving to Mexico. The de minimis duty is about to go away. The personal free import allowance is complex. Most American citizens reentering the country think of...

feed-grains

Squeeze on White Corn

South Africa’s Crop Estimates Committee warns that instead of a previously expected 13.8 percent increase in maize production in 2024/25, output could fall to a five year low on account of El Nino. The shortfall is particularly acute for white corn, with the price rising 30 percent thus f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Extends Rally; Funds Cover Shorts Amid Widespread Futures Strength

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Hecho en Mexico; Radical for Small; Impeach Tai?

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feed-grains

Squeeze on White Corn

South Africa’s Crop Estimates Committee warns that instead of a previously expected 13.8 percent increase in maize production in 2024/25, output could fall to a five year low on account of El Nino. The shortfall is particularly acute for white corn, with the price rising 30 percent thus f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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