World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Rains Send Soy Complex Lower; China Sales, Short Covering Extend Wheat Rally

Rains in Brazil and Argentina heavily influenced the CBOT to start the week and sent the entire soy complex sharply lower. The precipitation also weighed on corn futures, which settled essentially unchanged, but was offset by the continuing rally in wheat futures. Wheat was again sharply higher and broke technical resistance levels as USDA reported new export sales to China. Beyond that, funds are scrambling to cover their massive short positions, which is driving the highly-technical wheat rally. The outlook for the week features weaker/sideways trade for the soy complex, more upside potential for wheat, and likely choppy but firmer trade for corn. Corn export inspections last week were huge and well above seasonal norms at over 1.1 MMT &...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Gains Continue on Weather Market, Risk-On Mentality

The CBOT followed the higher trend it established earlier this week with still more bullish news emerging to close the week. First off, the weather remains challenging for the U.S., South America, and Europe and, secondly, Russia’s 2024 wheat crop and exports saw another downward revision...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: South America/SAF Driving Developments

The Market For the week, the July soybean contract added 37.75 cents (3.2 percent) in value. November soybeans closed out Friday’s trading at $12.01/bushel, the highest close in over a month above the 100-day moving average for the first time this year. July soymeal moved $27.5 (7.9 perce...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Gains Continue on Weather Market, Risk-On Mentality

The CBOT followed the higher trend it established earlier this week with still more bullish news emerging to close the week. First off, the weather remains challenging for the U.S., South America, and Europe and, secondly, Russia’s 2024 wheat crop and exports saw another downward revision...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: South America/SAF Driving Developments

The Market For the week, the July soybean contract added 37.75 cents (3.2 percent) in value. November soybeans closed out Friday’s trading at $12.01/bushel, the highest close in over a month above the 100-day moving average for the first time this year. July soymeal moved $27.5 (7.9 perce...

Circling the Corral; Un-deglobalizing

Circling the Corral Florida now bans the marketing of cultivated meat. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said lab-grown meat was a threat to the state’s beef cattle industry, the ninth largest in the country. The National Cattlemen’s Beef Association has limited its demands to just have...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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