World Perspectives
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Market Commentary: Short-Covering Lifts Wheat; Soy Complex Falls on Plunging Crude and Soyoil

Tuesday’s CBOT trade was largely devoted to pre-WASDE report positioning and position evening. Wheat futures staged a mild turn-around and settled a few cents higher amid deeply oversold technical conditions. Soybean futures turned lower as a pronounced selloff in crude oil and soyoil pulled the oilseed lower. Corn was caught in the middle in quiet trade and settled slightly lower with May futures hovering near $6.35. Funds were net sellers in corn and the soy complex for the day but are thought to have been slight net buyers in wheat.   One factor starting to heavily influence global soybean markets is the fact that Brazil is running out of storage for its current soybean crop. Brazil’s 153-155-MMT soybean crop that...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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