World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: The Bear that Ate the Corn Market

The WASDE was undeniably bearish with December corn and November soybean futures reaching new contract lows (actually, soybeans hit the low before and after the WASDE’s release), while wheat futures were down double-digits in response to the latest news. The headline numbers cratering the markets were record-breaking U.S. corn and soybean yields and month-over-month production ending stocks/use increases. Outside the U.S., across-the-board increases in world ending stocks from the August WASDE pressured markets. Wall Street is higher as of this writing with the Dow and S&P 500 indexes up fractionally and the U.S. Dollar Index up 5 points. Rumors that the U.S. and China could be resuming trade talks briefly boosted the markets...

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The risk of a farm crisis in 2019 is?

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soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Falls Below 1 MMT Strong downstream demand from the feed industry as hog prices continue to surge pushed China’s nationwide soymeal inventory below the 1 MMT threshold. The total stood at 940,000 MT as of 14 September 2018, down 83,100 MT (-8.1 percent) from the...

livestock

More Placements, Fewer Marketings, Bearish Cattle on Feed Expected

The cattle and beef markets need clarity. The last Cattle on Feed report was fundamentally bearish, but prices have only gone higher since then. Packer margins are near record highs for this time of year, while cash cattle prices are near seasonal lows. Feedlot margins are theoretically in the...

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups; Starving for Health; Climate and Trade Wars; E15 Push

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups California voters are once again set to roil agricultural producers elsewhere in the nation as they vote 6 November on Proposition 12. Pushed by animal rights advocates who are outspending opponents, it would mandate specific growing conditions such as enlarged spaces fo...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

China In-Country Analysis

Oilseeds Soymeal Inventory Falls Below 1 MMT Strong downstream demand from the feed industry as hog prices continue to surge pushed China’s nationwide soymeal inventory below the 1 MMT threshold. The total stood at 940,000 MT as of 14 September 2018, down 83,100 MT (-8.1 percent) from the...

livestock

More Placements, Fewer Marketings, Bearish Cattle on Feed Expected

The cattle and beef markets need clarity. The last Cattle on Feed report was fundamentally bearish, but prices have only gone higher since then. Packer margins are near record highs for this time of year, while cash cattle prices are near seasonal lows. Feedlot margins are theoretically in the...

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups; Starving for Health; Climate and Trade Wars; E15 Push

Taj Mahal Chicken Coups California voters are once again set to roil agricultural producers elsewhere in the nation as they vote 6 November on Proposition 12. Pushed by animal rights advocates who are outspending opponents, it would mandate specific growing conditions such as enlarged spaces fo...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It was a trade war-influenced day at the CBOT with China adding tariffs to another $60 billion of U.S. products in a retaliatory response to the latest Trump-imposed tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods. The back-and-forth tariffs are not really causing further damage to major agricultural...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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