World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Wheat Pulls Back from Weather Rally; Soymeal Leads Soy Complex

The CBOT saw mixed trade to start the week with wheat futures (except the MGEX market) pulling back amid profit taking and a general feeling of a correction after their recent rally. The soy complex, on the other hand, saw a strong rally in soymeal as the plight of the Argentine crop is bolstering the outlook for U.S. shipments in the near-term. Soymeal and soybeans managed to settle higher while the soyoil market sold off sharply amid fund and technical selling. Corn was largely caught between the wheat weakness and more supportive tone in soybeans and overcame a weak start to end largely unchanged. Weather across the world remains the market’s primary focus right now, so clients should expect added volatility as weather models and f...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Pauses and Drifts Lower; NOPA Crush Disappoints; Energies Rally as Inflation Eases

The CBOT started out firm again in the overnight session but quickly turned lower once the day session started. The reason seemed to be “sell the fact” trade after the recent weather market rise in prices with traders seeming to think grain and oilseed supplies may be a bit better t...

Transatlantic Glue

China understandably responded harshly to the Biden Administration’s sharp increase in tariffs on EV’s and components. However, there is not much that Beijing can do about it except retaliate. The EU already shared Washington’s angst about China undermining Western industries...

feed-grains livestock

Brazil Leans into Meat

Over the past decade, Brazilian corn production has grown faster than its output of animal protein, but that may be changing. Brazil’s corn production this year could be down almost 10 percent from a year ago, and USDA’s latest forecast has 2024/25 output down 7.2 percent from 2022/...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: CBOT Pauses and Drifts Lower; NOPA Crush Disappoints; Energies Rally as Inflation Eases

The CBOT started out firm again in the overnight session but quickly turned lower once the day session started. The reason seemed to be “sell the fact” trade after the recent weather market rise in prices with traders seeming to think grain and oilseed supplies may be a bit better t...

Transatlantic Glue

China understandably responded harshly to the Biden Administration’s sharp increase in tariffs on EV’s and components. However, there is not much that Beijing can do about it except retaliate. The EU already shared Washington’s angst about China undermining Western industries...

feed-grains livestock

Brazil Leans into Meat

Over the past decade, Brazilian corn production has grown faster than its output of animal protein, but that may be changing. Brazil’s corn production this year could be down almost 10 percent from a year ago, and USDA’s latest forecast has 2024/25 output down 7.2 percent from 2022/...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 6–10 May 2024 This year’s spring weather in Russia is abnormal; last week frost was registered across European Russia ranging from Smolensk all the way to Volga Valley. Some nighttime temperatures were as low as minus 12 degrees Celsius which is catastrophic f...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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