World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Brazil  The Brazilian market was almost entirely dead last week with Chinese buyers sidelined and not bidding on any position. Their absence has persisted for two weeks now, concerning several exporters. The situation is compounded by a lack of farmer selling (due to the strong Brazilian real). Consequently, the market remains at a standstill. The problem is that exporters need to move their logistics, and WPI believes they hold a 2-MMT long position in old crop soybeans. That is mostly for nearby deliveries and one of the reasons why the nearby market is receiving pressure. Last week the main activity was rolling positions forward. Several trading houses had to roll from July to August and pay 9 cents for 20 days, while rol...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Jul 24 Corn closed at $4.5/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Wheat closed at $6.2225/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soybeans closed at $11.7725/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soymeal closed at $344.7/short ton, down $2.9 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Weather Worries Nearing a Ceiling

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soy-oilseeds

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Jul 24 Corn closed at $4.5/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Wheat closed at $6.2225/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soybeans closed at $11.7725/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soymeal closed at $344.7/short ton, down $2.9 f...

Q1 GDP Comes in Low, Interest Rate Expected to Stay High

The Q1 2024 GDP was 1.6 percent, well below the pre-report consensus expectation of 2.4 percent, and down from 3.1 percent in Q1 2023 and 3.4 percent in Q4 2023. That rate was the slowest in almost two years, dating back to Q2 2022.  Recall that in the 2 February Ag Perspectives report on...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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