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Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST COMMENTS Egypt says that it will establish a commodities exchange for the trading of items that will include wheat, sugar, corn and rice – both locally produced and imported. They say that it will be in place in the next 36 to 48 weeks. Several quasi-government agencies will be shareholders in the exchange. Egypt’s GASC purchased 300,000 MT of milling wheat for February 2020 – 120,000 MT from France at $245.50/MT CNF, 60,000 MT from Romania at $245.45/MT CNF, 60,000 MT from Russia at $245.98/MT CNF and 60,000 MT from Ukraine at $245.93/MT CNF. This tender did include the new term that allows Egyptian inspectors to check wheat at load ports. Egypt has fallen a little short in i...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

AM Outlook - Priced to Sell

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Commodity Collapse

The CBOT was sharply weaker for the second trading day in August. Continued excellent or improving spring crop conditions and private firm forecasts of record corn and soybean yields sparked widespread selling. Corn dipped to new contract lows – as did HRW wheat – while SRW wheat an...

Phase One Collateral Damage; Conditional Income Subsidies

Phase One Collateral Damage UC-Davis researchers Robert Feenstra and Chang Hong analyzed (NBER Working Paper No. 27383) the impact of the Phase One agreement on China’s agricultural imports and find that some U.S. allies should be very upset. Holding China’s imports roughly static,...

What is the Exit Strategy for Ad Hoc Farm Payments?

The 2018 farm bill was signed into law in December of that year and implementing rules were rolled out through 2019. The major crop programs, like ARC and PLC for example, saw participation elections and signups in the fall of 2019 and CRP general sign up began in December 2019. These and other...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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