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Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS The latest USDA-FAS report on Turkish grains indicates that better rainfall through February 2019 versus the two previous years should result in higher crop yields, although winter crops may not be up overall due to the smaller planted area in late 2018. For wheat, 2018/19 production is expected to total 19.MMT with wheat imports at 5.5 MMT and wheat/flour exports at 6.5 MMT, and all are expected to remain at the same levels in 2019/20. Meanwhile, barley production is projected to reach 7 MMT in 2018/19 and then increase to 8 MMT in 2019/20 (Turkey does not import or export barley.) Looking at corn, the forecast has production at 5.7 MMT and imports at 2.2 MMT in 2018/19 with a drop to 5...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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