World Perspectives

Monetary Policy Between a Rock and a Hard Place

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet this week; interest rates were last raised in July 2023, and during Q4 when rates were held steady markets were hopeful that was a signal that a rate cut would be coming in 2024.   Right now, however, the Federal Funds Futures market is predicting a 99 percent chance that at the next meeting rates will remain where they are, at an effective rate of 5.33 percent and a 97 percent chance that they will be held steady at the FMOC May meeting. It is not until June that there is a 56 percent chance of a rate cut.  Inflation ticked up in December 2023 to 3.4 percent and has remained “sticky” at 3.1 percent in January and 3.2 percent in February. Moreover, February&rs...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The CFTC report featured more bullish sentiments from managed money traders with funds slightly expanding a massive long position in corn and adding length in the soy complex as well. Funds added another 5 percent to their long corn positions through last Tuesday and are just 7,000 contracts sh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Down Day but Most of the Week Was Temporarily Up

Today’s trading was mostly lower based on South American weather and the ever-present tariff threat. Overall, the first week in February 2025 experienced the following: It was the fourth week in a row higher for SRW, and the third week up for HRW and HRS. It was the second week in a row...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.875/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.8275/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.495/bushel, down $0.11 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $301.4/short ton, down $5 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The CFTC report featured more bullish sentiments from managed money traders with funds slightly expanding a massive long position in corn and adding length in the soy complex as well. Funds added another 5 percent to their long corn positions through last Tuesday and are just 7,000 contracts sh...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Down Day but Most of the Week Was Temporarily Up

Today’s trading was mostly lower based on South American weather and the ever-present tariff threat. Overall, the first week in February 2025 experienced the following: It was the fourth week in a row higher for SRW, and the third week up for HRW and HRS. It was the second week in a row...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.875/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.8275/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soybeans closed at $10.495/bushel, down $0.11 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Soymeal closed at $301.4/short ton, down $5 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI 2025 Acreage Outlook

With the USDA’s annual Ag Outlook forum happening at the end of this month and planting season a little more than four weeks away for parts of the U.S., the industry is turning its attention to the acreage outlook for 2025. This year offers significant differences from recent conditions t...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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