World Perspectives
wheat

No Global Food Crisis

The so-called global food crisis is first and foremost driven by the wheat market, where production has been under stress in major countries like Pakistan, India, Iraq and Morocco. Plus, the removal of Ukraine’s supply from the global market. Yet Russia’s production keeps edging upward, and the global stocks to use ratio was much lower prior to 2015/16. Still, leaders and reporters continue to refer to it as a crisis. The IGC makes note that the wheat market is “sensitive to the news” and keeping up the flow of crisis news is the UN, which now warns of danger if Russia reduces exports. There is no global food crisis, certainly not for rich countries, though it does impose hardship on poorer nations where food absorb...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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