World Perspectives
energy

Propane Situation

In two weeks, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will resume price reporting on propane (assuming there’s no government shutdown). The price reporting stops at the end of March, but as of 27 March prices were $0.96 per gallon, the lowest March average since 2020. Currently the commercial markets are down; it is one of the few energy commodities that is down on the year other than natural gas, which has declined from record peaks. According to the EIA’s Sepetmber short term energy outlook, inventories are expected to be at the top of the  five-year average range, and even slightly exceed it in early 2024. Prices for the end of 2023 and into 2024 are forecast below the 2022 averages.  This outlook is positiv...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Reports Tank Soy Complex and Wheat; Corn Stocks Bullish but Market Falls Anyway

The much-anticipated Grain Stocks report failed to match expectations in terms of supply data, but more than exceeded hopes for an exciting day of trade. The USDA’s headline report – the Grain Stocks as of 1 September – and the Small Grains summary report sent wheat and the so...

softs energy feed-grains

CFTC COT Report Analysis

New: WPI has added softs (cocoa, coffee, cotton, and sugar) and selected energy futures (NYMEX natural gas, crude oil, RBOB gasoline, and Chicago ethanol) to this report. Consequently, the attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 23 Corn closed at $4.7675/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Dec 23 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, down $0.3725 from yesterday's close.  Nov 23 Soybeans closed at $12.75/bushel, down $0.255 from yesterday's close.  Dec 23 Soymeal closed at $381.2/short ton, down $1...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Reports Tank Soy Complex and Wheat; Corn Stocks Bullish but Market Falls Anyway

The much-anticipated Grain Stocks report failed to match expectations in terms of supply data, but more than exceeded hopes for an exciting day of trade. The USDA’s headline report – the Grain Stocks as of 1 September – and the Small Grains summary report sent wheat and the so...

softs energy feed-grains

CFTC COT Report Analysis

New: WPI has added softs (cocoa, coffee, cotton, and sugar) and selected energy futures (NYMEX natural gas, crude oil, RBOB gasoline, and Chicago ethanol) to this report. Consequently, the attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 23 Corn closed at $4.7675/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.  Dec 23 Wheat closed at $5.415/bushel, down $0.3725 from yesterday's close.  Nov 23 Soybeans closed at $12.75/bushel, down $0.255 from yesterday's close.  Dec 23 Soymeal closed at $381.2/short ton, down $1...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights – Drift Lower Could End

The Market It was another week of falling oilseed prices. November soybeans dropped 1.6 percent, December soymeal lost 1.1 percent and December soyoil fell hardest, shaving off 6.3 percent. The market can be a paradox. Brazil is dominating the export market and yet the U.S. has tight supplies a...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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