World Perspectives
feed-grains

Rice Self-Sufficiency

It is noted that rice imports by Nigeria are declining, with increased border protections and larger domestic production to blame. However, the same dynamic is occurring in other major rice markets such as the Philippines, China, Saudi Arabia, and Cote d’Ivoire.  Global rice trade hit its peak in 2017 and since has shrunk by 10 percent. By contrast, consumption over the same period has grown by 2.7 percent, the difference accounted for by increased domestic production. The global average tariff on rice has typically been higher than some other commodities, though skewed by a handful of countries with outsized protections. Increased rice production by large consuming countries like India and Bangladesh help to drive the change.&n...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Futures Scream Higher; Cash Markets Also on Fire

The CBOT continues to scream higher with Chinese buying of U.S. corn and soybeans underpinning prices. Managed money funds have been aggressive buyers as technical analysis has shown few, if any, reasons to be bearish or sell a long position. The rally is not isolated to the futures market eith...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 20 Corn closed at $3.785/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Dec 20 Wheat closed at $5.75/bushel, up $0.1875 from yesterday's close.  Nov 20 Soybeans closed at $10.435/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Dec 20 Soymeal closed at $342.1/short ton, up $6.8 from ye...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Futures Scream Higher; Cash Markets Also on Fire

The CBOT continues to scream higher with Chinese buying of U.S. corn and soybeans underpinning prices. Managed money funds have been aggressive buyers as technical analysis has shown few, if any, reasons to be bearish or sell a long position. The rally is not isolated to the futures market eith...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 20 Corn closed at $3.785/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Dec 20 Wheat closed at $5.75/bushel, up $0.1875 from yesterday's close.  Nov 20 Soybeans closed at $10.435/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.  Dec 20 Soymeal closed at $342.1/short ton, up $6.8 from ye...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 18 September)

Ocean Freight Comments for 17 September 2020: By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting It was another one of those weeks where Dry-Bulk freight tried to rally early but was forced to retreat at the week’s end. The paper trade is better supported than the physical market and it will be interes...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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