World Perspectives
biofuel

RINs and Repeat of RFS Waivers

When it comes to biofuels policy and the White House, it is the same song but in a different key. The Biden White House is caught between two political base constituencies, environmentalists and labor. The groups are different than they were for the Trump Administration - agriculture and petroleum (which, granted included labor) – but the squeeze is the same. It proved impossible to balance the RFS and waivers from the RFS for the Trump Administration, and it doesn’t appear to be any easier for the Biden Administration. Delta Airlines is lobbying the Administration for a waiver of the RFS, or rather its employees’ unions are. In addition to the airlines, Delta owns merchant refiner Monroe Energy. Reportedly the company is...

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biofuel

E15’s Rube Goldberg Regulations

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Market Commentary: Global Wheat, Oilseed Futures Rally on Weather Threats

Friday’s strength in CBOT and broader global ag commodity futures was simply a foreshadowing of the rallies that would develop on Monday. Heading into the weekend, markets were jittery on perceived weather risks, many of which turned out to be prescient. Over the weekend, parts of the U.S...

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WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 22 April)

Update for 1 April 2024: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where ob...

biofuel

E15’s Rube Goldberg Regulations

Last Friday, 19 April, the EPA issued an emergency waiver for E15 to be sold through the summer driving season. The topline takeaway of that action is positive for the ethanol sector, but the practicality of implementing the new rule is more complex.   Indeed, the structure of the Cle...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Global Wheat, Oilseed Futures Rally on Weather Threats

Friday’s strength in CBOT and broader global ag commodity futures was simply a foreshadowing of the rallies that would develop on Monday. Heading into the weekend, markets were jittery on perceived weather risks, many of which turned out to be prescient. Over the weekend, parts of the U.S...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 22 April)

Update for 1 April 2024: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where ob...

Trading Waste; Ottawa versus Manila; Politician’s Lag

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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