If there were a record of the margin by which pre-August report trade consensus estimates missed the NASS numbers up or down each year, yesterday's would probably rank at or very near the top. There is certainly a great deal to consider in this month's WASDE.We have been around this business for a long time and do not recall any August WASDE that has had a greater immediate market impact than what we witnessed yesterday. Since USDA/NASS's first survey-based yield and production estimates for the forthcoming U.S. corn and soybean harvests always appear in the August report, there is typically some increase in price volatility in the market's response. However, yesterday's futures market meltdown surely ranks near the top. We guess that the o...
Communicating importance of value-added products
Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.
What You Need to Know Today: A third U.S. border crossing (Columbus, New Mexico) has reopened to Mexican cattle imports following nearly two years of restrictions related to New World screwworm. The reopening could gradually improve feeder cattle availability, although more than 60 confi...
Yesterday, the USDA’s Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) released a new report of negotiated cash purchases of cattle under the mandatory price report. The report included Colorado, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas. The goal of the report was to solve the confidentiality issues e...
Key Takeaways: U.S. soybean crushing began in 1911 and saw its most rapid expansion during the 1930s amid the broader agricultural and technology revolutions of the time. After peaking in the early 2000s, the soybean crushing industry went through a downturn as poor crush margins forced...