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Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was firmer last week. Russia’s domestic prices were $2-6/MT higher in different regions. Meanwhile, it has exported approximately 23 MMT from the start of the campaign, and the range of estimates for the final total is 32-36.5 MMT. The export surplus remaining for the second half of the campaign will be about 10 MMT, while in the last campaign Russia exported 19 MMT from January to June. The Egyptian GASC purchased 60 KMT of Ukrainian wheat at $263.70/MT CNF and 60 KMT of Romanian wheat at $264.10/MT CNF last week for 11-20 February arrival. The prices were about $7/MT higher than the previous tender held 10 days earlier. The cheapest offer for Russian wheat was $266.25/MT, and there were no offers...

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Summary of Futures

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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