World Perspectives

Tale of the Tail; USMCA Strategy; Up in Smoke; Delhi Dirt

Tale of Trade Restrictions’ Tail China came into the U.S. market today for soybeans, but American farmers now realize they need to diversify their markets. Perhaps they’ve learned something from past trade wars. Consider the following: Soviet Grain Embargo 1) Before the Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan in 1979 and incurred a grain export embargo by the U.S., it was approved to import 25 MMT of American wheat and corn or 10 percent of U.S. annual production. 2) Counterintuitively, the price of wheat rose from $4.39/bushel in January 1980 when the embargo was imposed to $5.00/bushel a year later when it was removed. 3) U.S wheat exports totaled 37 MMT before the embargo, hit 41 MMT during its imposition and then rose to 48 MM...

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Corn and wheat markets were firm overnight, while the soy complex was weaker. That was the pattern for much of today’s markets as well. Cool, wet weather and perhaps the worst flooding across parts of the Corn Belt ever are elevating concerns about a slow start to the corn planting season...

livestock

1 March Cattle on Feed Report

USDA today released the monthly Cattle on Feed (COF) report for 1 March. It showed the total inventory in feedlots of 1,000 head or more capacity was 1.8 million, the 27th straight month of year-over-year increases. Marketings were essentially flat, up only 8,000 head (or less than a half-perc...

Failed Tomato Farmers; Blasé Program Changes; New Transatlantic Conditionality

Failed Tomato Farmers The most efficient way to grow tomatoes is in greenhouses or hot houses. Most Mexican tomatoes are grown this way, but Florida growers have failed to adopt this form of protected agriculture, and the result is that their domestic market share has fallen to 41 percent. They...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Corn and wheat markets were firm overnight, while the soy complex was weaker. That was the pattern for much of today’s markets as well. Cool, wet weather and perhaps the worst flooding across parts of the Corn Belt ever are elevating concerns about a slow start to the corn planting season...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 19 Corn closed at $3.7825/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  May 19 Wheat closed at $4.66/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  May 19 Soybeans closed at $9.0375/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 19 Soymeal closed at $315/short ton, down $0.3 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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