World Perspectives
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Tangential Rice Market Impacts

Given current tight global rice stocks and high prices (see graph below), the question is how much wheat will be substituted for food or feed use. Rice prices have dropped since their peak early this year, but wheat is still 35 percent cheaper by weight than rice as a food grain. It is one reason why the uptake of wheat in East Asia has been growing at twice the rate of rice consumption. Technically, wheat imports are up 7 percent this year in South America but are down 8 percent into East Asia. Any increase in wheat for feed due to higher rice prices is likely limited. This is because rice is precious as a food crop and the amount used in the feed ration is limited. One study suggests that on average, 6 – 10 percent of global rice o...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fewer Bears Ahead of WASDE

Confidence in short positions was slightly challenged today as traders positioned ahead of tomorrow’s USDA December WASDE. January soybeans jumped back 16.25 cents today, though not enough to offset a string of earlier double-digit losses. Thus far this week, January soybeans are down 13...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.88/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.4225/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jan 24 Soybeans closed at $13.1175/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jan 24 Soymeal closed at $406.8/short ton, down $1.7 f...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for November 24-30, 2023. Wheat:  Net sales of 356,400 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down 43 percent from the previous week, but up 8 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 198,900 MT were down 42 percent from the previous week and 27 pe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Fewer Bears Ahead of WASDE

Confidence in short positions was slightly challenged today as traders positioned ahead of tomorrow’s USDA December WASDE. January soybeans jumped back 16.25 cents today, though not enough to offset a string of earlier double-digit losses. Thus far this week, January soybeans are down 13...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.88/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.4225/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  Jan 24 Soybeans closed at $13.1175/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jan 24 Soymeal closed at $406.8/short ton, down $1.7 f...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for November 24-30, 2023. Wheat:  Net sales of 356,400 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down 43 percent from the previous week, but up 8 percent from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 198,900 MT were down 42 percent from the previous week and 27 pe...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 7 December)

Ocean Freight Comments - 7 December 2023 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting As the old saying goes, “what goes up, must come down.” Dry bulk markets were not kind to Capesize vessel owners this week as that sector witnessed an historic one-day decline on Thursday. Markets seem confu...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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