World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The Good and the Bad

It has been said that commodities futures markets are zero-sum games, that someone’s gains are always offset by someone else’s losses. Whereas that may be narrowly true in theory, it certainly is not the case for the broader business of growing, handling, transporting, processing and exporting bulk commodities. Nor is it true when bulk commodities are transformed into consumer products. Like any economic activity, the commodity business is affected by influences that are good and those that are bad. They do not necessarily offset one another but do offer some balance to some extent. Following is an ad hoc list of some topics that offer good and bad influences over agribusinesses. The U.S.-China Trade Dispute The Good: China h...

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Game of Chicken; Hard and Fast Numbers; Glyphosate Addiction

Game of Chicken U.S. officials were celebrating China’s announcement that after half a dozen years of bogus excuses for keeping out American poultry, Beijing opened its market. The announcement came a week after the U.S. announced the opening of its market to cooked Chinese poultry meat...

livestock

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China Opens to Chicken On 31 October, we reported that its was expected that broilers would be included in any U.S. China trade deal, and although that deal remains elusive, China announced today that it would open its market up to U.S. poultry. The access is effective immediately.  As we...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

After a week of rolling, November contracts expired today and liquidation begins in the December contract. Otherwise, the market remains caught in sideways trading, which pushes opportunity into the spread trade. The USDA Export Sales report would ordinarily have influenced the day, but it is p...

Game of Chicken; Hard and Fast Numbers; Glyphosate Addiction

Game of Chicken U.S. officials were celebrating China’s announcement that after half a dozen years of bogus excuses for keeping out American poultry, Beijing opened its market. The announcement came a week after the U.S. announced the opening of its market to cooked Chinese poultry meat...

livestock

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China Opens to Chicken On 31 October, we reported that its was expected that broilers would be included in any U.S. China trade deal, and although that deal remains elusive, China announced today that it would open its market up to U.S. poultry. The access is effective immediately.  As we...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

After a week of rolling, November contracts expired today and liquidation begins in the December contract. Otherwise, the market remains caught in sideways trading, which pushes opportunity into the spread trade. The USDA Export Sales report would ordinarily have influenced the day, but it is p...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.7575/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Wheat closed at $5.0775/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Jan 20 Soybeans closed at $9.1675/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $303.1/short ton, down $1 fr...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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