World Perspectives

TPP Reality?; U.S.-China Trade War

TPP Reality? Aggies are trying to decipher the degree of seriousness behind President Trump’s announcement in Davos that he would reconsider joining the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). On the one hand, most things that go into a presidential speech are well vetted and discussed. Treasury Undersecretary Davis Malpass has even tried to explain the reversal, saying the U.S. now has better negotiators under Trump and the economy has improved. There is the possible calculation that in the face of worsening circumstances with China (see below), the U.S. wants more political and economic support in the region. On the flipside, this president has a penchant for musings intended mostly just to move the news cycle and capture attention. Embr...

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Changes in energy products’ recent price behavior point to potential trading opportunities. Similarly, the momentum indicators in grains show opportunities in those commodities are rapidly changing as well. Finally, livestock and soft commodity futures are analyzed and their forward curve...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

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livestock

Cattle on Feed

United States Cattle on Feed on June 1, 2018 was up 4 percent above year ago.  Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter in U.S. feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.6 million head: This is the highest June 1 inventory since the series began in 1996. Placements in feed...

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Illuminating the value of technical research

On behalf of a commodity producer organization, WPI evaluated the outputs from a project that featured a $5 million investment into technical research over multiple years. WPI’s team captured the results of this extensive effort and synthesized them for presentation to the organization’s governing board; among the findings uncovered and presented for the first time was the development of genomic traits proven, via rigorous testing, to provide crop yield advantages of 50 percent or more to U.S. farmers in times of drought. Capturing measurable results from long-term efforts can be challenging. Educating clients on the dynamics of success measurement when quantifiable results are not readily available requires deep client-consultant collaboration and an ability to consider both near- and long-term client aspirations with market/policy dynamics – attributes that WPI brings to every consulting engagement.

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