World Perspectives

Uncertainties Abound

Newly installed Argentine President Javier Milei told elites in Davos last week that they need to rally around capitalism because socialism has never improved the lives of people. His speech was welcomed by some in the audience but not by all back in Argentina. He now faces large protests in Argentina by those that think they’ve benefited from Peronist socialism. His budget cuts and removal of regulations on labor and business have immediate adverse impacts but long-term benefits if they can be sustained.   Politics in the U.S. has security aid for Ukraine tied up with securing the southern border. Brussels now realizes it must ante up on its own for getting aid to Kyiv. Hungary is blocking the effort but leaders insist tha...

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Large supplies and a strong dollar took their toll this week on corn and soybeans, but they still managed to outperform. Weather worries pushed wheat higher for a seventh straight session, and pork finally took a fall.  There was high volume trading in corn today but without any strong fee...

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Summary of Futures

Jul 24 Corn closed at $4.5/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Wheat closed at $6.2225/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soybeans closed at $11.7725/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soymeal closed at $344.7/short ton, down $2.9 f...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Weather Worries Nearing a Ceiling

Large supplies and a strong dollar took their toll this week on corn and soybeans, but they still managed to outperform. Weather worries pushed wheat higher for a seventh straight session, and pork finally took a fall.  There was high volume trading in corn today but without any strong fee...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Up, Despite Grey Clouds

The Market Brazil has been winning the soybean export war, and imported biodiesel feedstock threatens domestic crush margins, but Chicago trading this week appeared to shake off such concerns. July soybeans traded lower for the past three trading sessions but larger gains achieved at the beginn...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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Jul 24 Corn closed at $4.5/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Wheat closed at $6.2225/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soybeans closed at $11.7725/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soymeal closed at $344.7/short ton, down $2.9 f...

Q1 GDP Comes in Low, Interest Rate Expected to Stay High

The Q1 2024 GDP was 1.6 percent, well below the pre-report consensus expectation of 2.4 percent, and down from 3.1 percent in Q1 2023 and 3.4 percent in Q4 2023. That rate was the slowest in almost two years, dating back to Q2 2022.  Recall that in the 2 February Ag Perspectives report on...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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