World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds biofuel

U.S. Soybean Oil Outlook

Soyoil futures have seen a dramatic few years with a huge rally in 2020 sending the market to new record highs by 2022 amid the expectations for higher demand from biofuel mandates. However, since reaching mid-2022 highs soyoil has been on a long and volatile decline as global soybean and soyoil production has recovered from drought-induced declines and as demand for soyoil in biofuel has underperformed expectations. But a reversal has occurred over the past two weeks. Soyoil futures have posted a strong technical reversal and have started a new trend higher. This has created ample questions about the longer-term outlook for the commodity. WPI now offers our thoughts starting with a short overview of the global vegoil sector and soyoil&rsqu...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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