World Perspectives
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USDA Makes Changes to WASDE Tables

USDA announced this week that it will make some changes (noted below) to the monthly WASDE (supply and demand estimates) starting with the May report. While not huge, these modifications will likely add clarity and should have been implemented long ago. They will not affect the actual numbers but only how they are portrayed. - The row labels for world wheat, coarse grains, corn, rice and cotton will now include the line “world less China.” This is an important change. WPI and other analysts have pointed out for several years the significance of China’s supplies to world ending supplies for crops, especially corn and wheat. It currently holds more than 50 percent of the world wheat ending supplies, 74 percent of the world&...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.8075/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Sep 19 Wheat closed at $4.7075/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $8.7975/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $300.3/short ton, up $3.4 from...

Bond Yield, China, and Buying Opportunities

The yield curve for Treasury bonds inverted on Wednesday, and that sparked a major stock sell-off as well as rampant speculation about the state of the economy. While it is true that inverted yield curves preceded each of the last seven recessions, the phenomenon is a symptom and not a cause. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Expectations of crop tours finding yields below USDA’s latest estimate gave the CBOT a boost to end what has otherwise been a bearish week. Private yield estimates prompted a round of short covering in the corn and soybean markets, while wheat was left largely directionless. Cattle prices...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.8075/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Sep 19 Wheat closed at $4.7075/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $8.7975/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $300.3/short ton, up $3.4 from...

Bond Yield, China, and Buying Opportunities

The yield curve for Treasury bonds inverted on Wednesday, and that sparked a major stock sell-off as well as rampant speculation about the state of the economy. While it is true that inverted yield curves preceded each of the last seven recessions, the phenomenon is a symptom and not a cause. I...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Expectations of crop tours finding yields below USDA’s latest estimate gave the CBOT a boost to end what has otherwise been a bearish week. Private yield estimates prompted a round of short covering in the corn and soybean markets, while wheat was left largely directionless. Cattle prices...

Economic Conundrum; Trade Adjustment Assistance

Economic Conundrum The West turned unhappy with China’s trade and economic practices before Donald Trump, but it is unclear that his approach to the problem is working. While the trade hit on U.S. agriculture is clear, the American side is generally faring worse from the trade war. China&...

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From WPI Consulting

Weighing in on strategic realignment

WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.

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