World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

USDA’s June WASDE

June WASDEs typically provide few surprises and little market movement. Taken individually, not one of USDA’s new estimates and projections is very surprising. Collectively, they emphasize a trend that markets have been slow to acknowledge, which is that U.S. and world supplies of grain and soybeans have declined in 2017/18 and are almost certain to decrease further in 2018/19. This has sponsored a generally bullish reaction from futures markets. The tables below show the key numbers from the June WASDE released today. Please note that all those for 2018/19 (except for U.S. wheat production) are USDA projections rather than estimates. USDA estimates combined U.S. ending stocks of corn, soybeans and wheat will be 3.687 billion bush...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Turnaround Tuesday’s higher prices for grain and soy futures did not last long. An array of negative macro influences and forecasts for a week of favorable weather for the Plains and Midwest sent soy and wheat prices back near where they were at Monday’s close. Commodity prices in g...

Rise Above the WTO; Pros and Cons of Relocate

Rise Above the WTO Channeling Donald Trump’s incendiary style, the normally thoughtful Kevin Hassett, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisors, has raised the issue of throwing China out of the WTO. The comment is notable since many trading partners would currently like to th...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 6-10 August 2018 Grain prices increased due to rising prices on international markets and weakening of the ruble. Milling wheat export prices rose $3/MT to $235/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew to $187-192/MT CPT-Black Sea port. While the average fee...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Turnaround Tuesday’s higher prices for grain and soy futures did not last long. An array of negative macro influences and forecasts for a week of favorable weather for the Plains and Midwest sent soy and wheat prices back near where they were at Monday’s close. Commodity prices in g...

Rise Above the WTO; Pros and Cons of Relocate

Rise Above the WTO Channeling Donald Trump’s incendiary style, the normally thoughtful Kevin Hassett, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisors, has raised the issue of throwing China out of the WTO. The comment is notable since many trading partners would currently like to th...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 6-10 August 2018 Grain prices increased due to rising prices on international markets and weakening of the ruble. Milling wheat export prices rose $3/MT to $235/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew to $187-192/MT CPT-Black Sea port. While the average fee...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Summary of Futures

Dec 18 Corn closed at $3.76/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Sep 18 Wheat closed at $5.3225/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close.  Nov 18 Soybeans closed at $8.69/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Dec 18 Soymeal closed at $331.3/short ton, down $6.5...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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