World Perspectives
soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

USDA reports for August 2019: Changes for 2018/19 include reduced soybean crush, reflecting lower domestic use and exports of soybean meal. Soybean ending stocks are projected at 1.07 billion bushels, up 20 million. China’s soybean imports are lowered 2 million tons to 85 million reflecting lower soybean meal crush in 2019/20. With crush also lowered in 2018/19, China’s protein meal consumption growth is forecasted flat in 2019/20. The soybean meal price forecast is unchanged at $300 per short ton.  ...

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Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.91/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Wheat closed at $5.3225/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $9.34/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $308.5/short ton, up $1.7 from...

The Evolving Trading System; CAP’s Fault; Fooled Foodies

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Trading at the CBOT today was muted with traders mostly evening positions, taking some profits, and generally not adding to or subtracting from risk ahead of the weekend. Fundamental news was light as well, except for forecasts that a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico will create above-avera...

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Summary of Futures

Dec 19 Corn closed at $3.91/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Wheat closed at $5.3225/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Nov 19 Soybeans closed at $9.34/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Dec 19 Soymeal closed at $308.5/short ton, up $1.7 from...

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Trading at the CBOT today was muted with traders mostly evening positions, taking some profits, and generally not adding to or subtracting from risk ahead of the weekend. Fundamental news was light as well, except for forecasts that a tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico will create above-avera...

wheat

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Chicago wheat futures have been climbing for the past few weeks based on still somewhat speculative supply losses due to adverse weather conditions and solid demand. Futures literally look forward while USDA’s strength is in the present and past. Historically, the stocks to use ratio and...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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