World Perspectives
wheat

Wheat Fundamentals Are Getting Stronger

U.S. wheat fundamentals have been improving quickly over the past several months, although this wouldn’t be apparent by looking at prices. Some of the key changes in the wheat market involve the outlook for crops in key wheat-producing countries. Russia’s wheat crop will be at least 20 MMT (74 million bushels) below last year’s record because of weather problems. Some analysts are talking about an even greater reduction based on disappointing early harvest yield reports. They are now questioning quality because of heavy rains on a mature crop. Russia’s ability to export a large volume of cheap wheat will not exist this year. The EU’s wheat crop has also been getting smaller because of a hot, dry growing seaso...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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