World Perspectives
wheat

Wheat Supplies and Price Both Falling

Global wheat ending stocks have been persistently falling now for five years. Ordinarily, price and carryover supplies move inversely but the price of wheat has been dropping for four straight years along with the availability of wheat.  The same is true more recently. Forecasts in recent weeks for wheat production in the Black Sea region and in the EU have been dropping. It has been too wet in the west and too dry in the east. Yet the trend in the price of wheat is to the downside.  This parallel change in supply and price creates the potential for a volatile reaction in the future. ...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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