Friday Shorts
Non-Meat: In a first, a Europe-based company has sought EU approval to market lab-grown meat, in this case fake foie gras. Some member states have already banned such products. While lab-grown meat remains expensive, and plant-based meat substitutes have faced declining popularity, the increase...
Trump versus Harris Trade Policy; Africa Shines; Trade and the Environment
Trump versus Harris Trade Policy While trade policy analysts assess the future of their vocation under either a Trump or Harris presidency, there is not a lot of uncertainty. Mr. Trump has already advertised his intentions to raise tariffs. He views the U.S. trade deficit as the barometer of ho...
U.S. Policy Battle; WTO Policy Battle; EU Policy Battle
U.S. Policy Battle The two major parties are past the battle over President Biden’s age and should move on to the policy differences. Democrats will try to take their own problem of Biden’s age and apply it to Trump but it is likely to have less salience. Instead, the election will...
Weekend Reading Insights
Because the information superhighway is tl;dr, we did the work for you and summarized the most relevant. Economic Growth: It is not just the result of building tangible things but making use of new ideas. It is relentless technological progress. Economist Daniel Susskind Trade Flows: Water foll...
Doubling Down on Protectionism; Conflicting CAP Goals
Doubling Down on Protectionism Typically, the party platforms crafted every four years by Republicans and Democrats are equally meaningless. Some of their policy prescriptions become codified but many do not. But speakers at this week’s Republican Convention are leaving no doubt that &ldq...
No Olive Branch; Farm Price Charade
No Olive Branch In 2018, the U.S. began imposing 30-44 percent antidumping and countervailing duties on ripe olives originating in Spain. The EU was aghast since it implied that farm payments could be countervailed. Brussels challenged the duties in the WTO dispute settlement process and won. T...
Food Security Angst; More Trade Agreements; Ag Regains EU Power
Food Security Angst Norway announced that it would spend $6 million a year for five years to build up a 60–75-thousand-ton grain reserve, or a three-month supply. The head of the Olam agricultural trading warned of a potential future food war. Supply chains are fragile, countries are erec...
Farm Bill Reassessment; Von der Leyen Threads Needle; Trade Agreements are Dead
Farm Bill Reassessment The chance of reauthorizing the farm bill this year was already looking unlikely but now it has shifted that way for new reasons. A House Agriculture Committee approved bill pleased farm groups but faced a gauntlet from food assistance groups and others on the political l...
PRC GMO in USA; Food Aid Dependency; CFTC Musical Chairs
PRC GMO in USA Members of Congress on the House Select Committee on China are furious at USDA for moving forward with approval of a biotech soybean developed by China’s QiBiodesign. China has refused to approve for domestic planting GMO’s that have been develop by Western companies...
U.S. Talk Representative; EUDR Expansion; Hungary Tanks Innovation; Russia Bolsters CAP
U.S. Talk Representative The Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) that grants duty free access to products from poorer countries expired almost four years ago. The African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), which provides similar nonreciprocal preferential access to the U.S. market but aimed...
Trade Barriers or Facilitation; Ag Rises in EU; Biden Regs
Trade Barriers or Facilitiation The WTO reported that its monitoring of various countries evidences that members are introducing more trade-facilitating policies than they are trade-restrictive measures. It only seems unreal because the trade restrictive practices receive more media attention...
Capital Investment and Productivity
While much of the focus on Europe relates to political instability in the EU, and threats from Russia, there are ample economic issues that also need to be addressed. This is true in both industrial production and agricultural output. European farms continue to lag their American counterparts i...
Transatlantic Monopsonists; Ex-Im Battle Continues
Transatlantic Monopsonists The three coalition partners (EPP, S&D, Renew) set to continue running the EU cannot agree on a sustainability agenda since the Greens got trounced in recent elections but they do agree on farmers. Specifically, they agree that farmers do not get “fair&rdquo...
Corn for Cars; Squeezed Between Two Labors
Corn for Cars Incoming Mexican agriculture minister Julio Berdegue said his country’s new government will not reduce imports of (GMO) yellow corn, but will make self-sufficiency in white corn a priority. Others suggested GMO white corn will continue to be restricted no matter the verdict...
Summary of Weekend Reads
Back by popular demand. Hang on to your seat, this is a whirlwind review of this past summer weekend’s beach reads. Taxes: One of former President Donald Trump’s signature accomplishments was the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which his opponents derided for cutting the taxes of...
Technology Ignores Regulators; Two Records in One Year
Technology Ignores Regulators Perhaps as expected, EU member states failed to agree to the latest compromise language on allowing the development of new genomic techniques. Meanwhile, researchers at the University of Sydney have developed a gene editing tool, seekRNA, that could provide higher...
Mixed Action for U.S. Exporters; Attacking American Citizens
Mixed Action for U.S. Exporters The Biden Administration announced an initiative to boost U.S. business opportunities abroad. The effort will be led by the State Department, USTR, and the Commerce Department. No USDA. American industry has long run trade deficits but now agriculture has slipped...
NGT Test this Week; New Mexican Authorities
NGT Test this Week The Belgian presidency of the EU will make its last effort to obtain approval of a regulatory proposal for new genomic techniques. If it fails, the effort will be passed along to the Hungarian presidency that begins in July. Chances are, it will fail despite being watered dow...
Poor Feed for the Golden Goose; Disingenuous Argument
Poor Feed for the Golden Goose Most people understand basic economics, but not all the subtleties of its principles. Competition makes sense, unless someone says it’s unfair. Some politicians trying to lead America out of its muddle, which is to say the octogenarian “leadership,&rdq...
Tight Margins Prevent Disruption; Hungary Isn’t Hungry; Two-Tiered Pricing
Tight Margins Prevent Disruption While populist politicians complain about corporate greed, the businesses with long term success in agriculture achieve their success via tight margins. Bloomberg notes that upstarts in the “agrifoodtech” space like Farmers Edge Inc. and Gro Intellig...
Cutting Food Waste; Conflicting Approaches
Cutting Food Waste USDA issued a national strategy yesterday that aims to cut food waste by 50 percent by 2030. According to the agency, food waste in the U.S. involves a third of the supply. There are many reasons why this is concerning and USDA has proposed many remediation steps along the su...
Farm Bill Prospects; Transatlantic Reverberations; Trade Policy Disconnect
Farm Bill Prospects Although the odds are long, there are some political dynamics that benefit the completion of a farm bill. Republicans barely control the House, but they have the potential to complete passage of a bill in that body. Democrats barely control the Senate, but there are Democrat...
Food as National Security; Food Policy and Climate Change
Food as National Security Journalists like Greg Ip and Noah Smith have identified the West’s trifecta of tools to counter China: industrial policy, export controls, and tariffs. They note another needed factor, unified western economics, but acknowledge it is difficult to achieve. Other f...
Immigration Tariffs?
At a campaign event in Arizona, former President Trump floated the idea of using tariffs on countries who don’t cooperate with the U.S. on illegal immigration, and specifically, those countries taking back citizens who illegally immigrate into the U.S. While most illegal immigration...
Friday Shorts
Non-Meat: In a first, a Europe-based company has sought EU approval to market lab-grown meat, in this case fake foie gras. Some member states have already banned such products. While lab-grown meat remains expensive, and plant-based meat substitutes have faced declining popularity, the increase...
Trump versus Harris Trade Policy; Africa Shines; Trade and the Environment
Trump versus Harris Trade Policy While trade policy analysts assess the future of their vocation under either a Trump or Harris presidency, there is not a lot of uncertainty. Mr. Trump has already advertised his intentions to raise tariffs. He views the U.S. trade deficit as the barometer of ho...
U.S. Policy Battle; WTO Policy Battle; EU Policy Battle
U.S. Policy Battle The two major parties are past the battle over President Biden’s age and should move on to the policy differences. Democrats will try to take their own problem of Biden’s age and apply it to Trump but it is likely to have less salience. Instead, the election will...
Weekend Reading Insights
Because the information superhighway is tl;dr, we did the work for you and summarized the most relevant. Economic Growth: It is not just the result of building tangible things but making use of new ideas. It is relentless technological progress. Economist Daniel Susskind Trade Flows: Water foll...
Doubling Down on Protectionism; Conflicting CAP Goals
Doubling Down on Protectionism Typically, the party platforms crafted every four years by Republicans and Democrats are equally meaningless. Some of their policy prescriptions become codified but many do not. But speakers at this week’s Republican Convention are leaving no doubt that &ldq...
No Olive Branch; Farm Price Charade
No Olive Branch In 2018, the U.S. began imposing 30-44 percent antidumping and countervailing duties on ripe olives originating in Spain. The EU was aghast since it implied that farm payments could be countervailed. Brussels challenged the duties in the WTO dispute settlement process and won. T...
Food Security Angst; More Trade Agreements; Ag Regains EU Power
Food Security Angst Norway announced that it would spend $6 million a year for five years to build up a 60–75-thousand-ton grain reserve, or a three-month supply. The head of the Olam agricultural trading warned of a potential future food war. Supply chains are fragile, countries are erec...
Farm Bill Reassessment; Von der Leyen Threads Needle; Trade Agreements are Dead
Farm Bill Reassessment The chance of reauthorizing the farm bill this year was already looking unlikely but now it has shifted that way for new reasons. A House Agriculture Committee approved bill pleased farm groups but faced a gauntlet from food assistance groups and others on the political l...
PRC GMO in USA; Food Aid Dependency; CFTC Musical Chairs
PRC GMO in USA Members of Congress on the House Select Committee on China are furious at USDA for moving forward with approval of a biotech soybean developed by China’s QiBiodesign. China has refused to approve for domestic planting GMO’s that have been develop by Western companies...
U.S. Talk Representative; EUDR Expansion; Hungary Tanks Innovation; Russia Bolsters CAP
U.S. Talk Representative The Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) that grants duty free access to products from poorer countries expired almost four years ago. The African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), which provides similar nonreciprocal preferential access to the U.S. market but aimed...
Trade Barriers or Facilitation; Ag Rises in EU; Biden Regs
Trade Barriers or Facilitiation The WTO reported that its monitoring of various countries evidences that members are introducing more trade-facilitating policies than they are trade-restrictive measures. It only seems unreal because the trade restrictive practices receive more media attention...
Capital Investment and Productivity
While much of the focus on Europe relates to political instability in the EU, and threats from Russia, there are ample economic issues that also need to be addressed. This is true in both industrial production and agricultural output. European farms continue to lag their American counterparts i...
Transatlantic Monopsonists; Ex-Im Battle Continues
Transatlantic Monopsonists The three coalition partners (EPP, S&D, Renew) set to continue running the EU cannot agree on a sustainability agenda since the Greens got trounced in recent elections but they do agree on farmers. Specifically, they agree that farmers do not get “fair&rdquo...
Corn for Cars; Squeezed Between Two Labors
Corn for Cars Incoming Mexican agriculture minister Julio Berdegue said his country’s new government will not reduce imports of (GMO) yellow corn, but will make self-sufficiency in white corn a priority. Others suggested GMO white corn will continue to be restricted no matter the verdict...
Summary of Weekend Reads
Back by popular demand. Hang on to your seat, this is a whirlwind review of this past summer weekend’s beach reads. Taxes: One of former President Donald Trump’s signature accomplishments was the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), which his opponents derided for cutting the taxes of...
Technology Ignores Regulators; Two Records in One Year
Technology Ignores Regulators Perhaps as expected, EU member states failed to agree to the latest compromise language on allowing the development of new genomic techniques. Meanwhile, researchers at the University of Sydney have developed a gene editing tool, seekRNA, that could provide higher...
Mixed Action for U.S. Exporters; Attacking American Citizens
Mixed Action for U.S. Exporters The Biden Administration announced an initiative to boost U.S. business opportunities abroad. The effort will be led by the State Department, USTR, and the Commerce Department. No USDA. American industry has long run trade deficits but now agriculture has slipped...
NGT Test this Week; New Mexican Authorities
NGT Test this Week The Belgian presidency of the EU will make its last effort to obtain approval of a regulatory proposal for new genomic techniques. If it fails, the effort will be passed along to the Hungarian presidency that begins in July. Chances are, it will fail despite being watered dow...
Poor Feed for the Golden Goose; Disingenuous Argument
Poor Feed for the Golden Goose Most people understand basic economics, but not all the subtleties of its principles. Competition makes sense, unless someone says it’s unfair. Some politicians trying to lead America out of its muddle, which is to say the octogenarian “leadership,&rdq...
Tight Margins Prevent Disruption; Hungary Isn’t Hungry; Two-Tiered Pricing
Tight Margins Prevent Disruption While populist politicians complain about corporate greed, the businesses with long term success in agriculture achieve their success via tight margins. Bloomberg notes that upstarts in the “agrifoodtech” space like Farmers Edge Inc. and Gro Intellig...
Cutting Food Waste; Conflicting Approaches
Cutting Food Waste USDA issued a national strategy yesterday that aims to cut food waste by 50 percent by 2030. According to the agency, food waste in the U.S. involves a third of the supply. There are many reasons why this is concerning and USDA has proposed many remediation steps along the su...
Farm Bill Prospects; Transatlantic Reverberations; Trade Policy Disconnect
Farm Bill Prospects Although the odds are long, there are some political dynamics that benefit the completion of a farm bill. Republicans barely control the House, but they have the potential to complete passage of a bill in that body. Democrats barely control the Senate, but there are Democrat...
Food as National Security; Food Policy and Climate Change
Food as National Security Journalists like Greg Ip and Noah Smith have identified the West’s trifecta of tools to counter China: industrial policy, export controls, and tariffs. They note another needed factor, unified western economics, but acknowledge it is difficult to achieve. Other f...
Immigration Tariffs?
At a campaign event in Arizona, former President Trump floated the idea of using tariffs on countries who don’t cooperate with the U.S. on illegal immigration, and specifically, those countries taking back citizens who illegally immigrate into the U.S. While most illegal immigration...