General Comments Note: As a result of the government shutdown, most, if not all, of USDA's regular reports will be suspended until the shutdown ends. This includes Thursday's regular weekly export sales report and weekly crop and harvest progress reports. The scheduled October WASDE on 11 October remains in question.International FC Stone released its October production estimates late yesterday. It raised its previous soybean yield estimate .2 bushels/acre to 41.4 bushels/acre and put soybean production at near 3.15 billion bushels. We reckon that trade consensus is building toward a slightly larger yield based on optimistic reports from producers. A yield of 42 bushels/acre is becoming a popular number. Stone's corn yield is a very ge...
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.
As predicted, the Federal Reserve held rates steady at the last meeting before the midterm elections, likely in part because of the election (see WPI 19 October and 22 September). The decision comes at the tail end of a midterm election cycle that has been marked by the two parties campaigning...
Key Takeaways: WPI’s new EU rapeseed crushing margin models point to weaker processing returns over the next four months due to higher rapeseed procurement costs and weaker product values. Statistical forecasts call for German crushing margins to decline from €181/MT to €...
Key Takeaways: The tariff burden rose sharply in 2025 and 2026: the effective rate on imports in HTS Chapters 1–24 increased from 1.53 percent in 2024 to 6.11 percent in 2025, before averaging 5.68 percent in January–August 2026. Headline rates tell only part of the story: exemptio...