U.S. corn exports deviation from historic patterns has implications for what exports will be in the rest of the marketing year. Analysis of unshipped corn sales, combined with the U.S.' current share of global exports, points to an interesting road ahead. Moreover, U.S. wheat, soybean, and soy product sales and exports are analyzed and relevant findings shown in graphical form. There have been several major reasons to be bearish about agricultural commodity prices this marketing year. The biggest reasons have been:
Big U.S. and world crop production and increasing ending supplies Big export competition for U.S. production that included Black Sea and Canadian wheat as well as a record South American soybean crop
However, a funny thi...
As predicted, the Federal Reserve held rates steady at the last meeting before the midterm elections, likely in part because of the election (see WPI 19 October and 22 September). The decision comes at the tail end of a midterm election cycle that has been marked by the two parties campaigning...
Key Takeaways: WPI’s new EU rapeseed crushing margin models point to weaker processing returns over the next four months due to higher rapeseed procurement costs and weaker product values. Statistical forecasts call for German crushing margins to decline from €181/MT to €...
Key Takeaways: The tariff burden rose sharply in 2025 and 2026: the effective rate on imports in HTS Chapters 1–24 increased from 1.53 percent in 2024 to 6.11 percent in 2025, before averaging 5.68 percent in January–August 2026. Headline rates tell only part of the story: exemptio...
