World Perspectives

Recent Ag Perspectives Analysis

Small, Slow and Inefficient

As noted previously, there is increasing attention to what a Biden Administration will mean to both agriculture and broader economic policy. It is not so much what Mr. Biden thinks, since he has proven to be a lifelong moderate, but rather the swirl of political forces around him that deserve a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It seemed clear at the start of the day that this a weather market, and that today’s WASDE would contain few surprises. For the most part that remained true after the report was released and yet some things are inexplicable.  For example, the corn crop is threated by hot and dry weat...

livestock

USDA Reports: Protein Production Recovery, Global Trade Decline

Today’s WASDE showed USDA’s red meat and broiler production forecast up from last month. Last month’s WASDE total beef, pork and broiler production estimate for 2020 was bumped up to be 0.05 percent greater than 2019. This month it is projected to be 1.7 percent ahead of last...

livestock

Cattle Price Recovery Boosts Cow/Calf Profitability

Declining feed costs and higher prices for feeder cattle and cull cows have lifted WPI’s expectations of cow/calf profitability for 2020. Compared to our forecast one month ago, the “average” producer in Kansas is expected to lose $1.94/cow unit in 2020, an $18/cow unit improv...

Future Ag Policy; English Accent

Future Ag Policy Presumptive Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden released his Build Back Better economic agenda and while it ignores some progressive demands such as a Green New Deal, it is still Trumpish in that it holds a “Buy America” focus. It would use federal procureme...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

There was lots of gnashing of teeth as market calculations swung between possibly threatening weather conditions, seeming positive demand and a WASDE report tomorrow that may or may not spring a surprise or two. This is the critical time of the campaign for corn, and it is not a neutral period...

livestock

Livestock Round Up

The May export numbers were released this week; plant shutdowns which hit beef and pork packing plants reduced export totals month over month compared to April. Beef was particularly impacted and dropped to the lowest monthly value in 10 years. Beef export value per head of fed slaughter averag...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Soy Export Sales; Aquaculture Investment; Paraguay Soybeans

Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA export sales report showed a major increase in U.S. export sales of soybeans both for the current marketing year and MY 2020/21. Soybean exports also were up from last week. Net soybean export sales in the week ending 2 July totaled 952,200 MT for...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

The Dog Days of Summer

The ancient Greeks associated the rising brightness in the nighttime sky of Sirius, the Dog Star, with the arrival of summer heat and humidity. Sirius would become the brightest star in the sky about mid-July normally coinciding with the hottest, most uncomfortable part of summer. The Northern...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Wheat was the star of the CBOT as declining EU and Black Sea production estimates sparked short covering and risk-on trade. Yield prospects across Southern Russia have been disappointing, furthering the CBOT rally. Corn was eventually pulled higher by the wheat market while the soy complex rema...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China In-Country Analysis

Macroeconomics Food Inflation Falls for Fourth Straight Month Average food prices continued to decline in May as the cost of fresh vegetables, fresh fruit, and eggs for consumers were down from a year ago. Meanwhile, the average price for pork, which has continued to increase, rose at a lower r...

wheat

Wheat Market Tightening

The wheat market is tightening as production cuts are hitting France, Russia and Ukraine, plus there has been an increase in tenders. Exports by France are expected to be 7.75 MMT, a 43 percent reduction from 2019/20. Meanwhile, Russia's IKAR reduced its estimate for the Russian wheat crop by 1...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Dalian Futures Market Analysis

Monthly Summary June Activity Surge Led by Corn, Egg, Palm, and Soybean Futures After the slowdown in May, trading volumes for agricultural futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange roared back in June as monthly trading volume rose by 34 percent. With a total volume of 93.41 million lots, June&...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 29 June-3 July 2020 Harvesting was in progress and in the South and Volga Valley regions prices decreased. Yet, the decrease is not significant as the average yield so far has been lower than in 2019. For export market milling wheat, average 2020 yield price decreased to...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 8 July)

Freight Comments for 2 July 2020: By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Capesize dry-bulk vessels must be using rocket fuel in place of VLSFO as that market continued to skyrocket this week. Capesize owners and sellers felt embolden by the tight supply of available vessels in the Atlantic, an...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The CBOT opened on a defensive note Tuesday with generally favorable/steady crop conditions ratings for key corn/soy producing states reducing the need for a weather premium. Corn and soybeans walked back to test key support points, which is often typical after a sharp rally. The wheat market p...

The Price Ain’t Right; Food Standards Fraud; Opportunity Strikes

The Price Ain’t Right German Agriculture Minister Julia Kloeckner thinks the problem is inexpensive meat. She told Reuters that, “Meat is too cheap. Lurid advertising with low prices for meat does not fit with appreciation and sustainability…This is no longer acceptable.&rdqu...

Appropriations and More COVID-19 Aid: How to Handle?

The House Agriculture Subcommittee approved its version of the FY 2021 ag appropriations bill. The measure will now move to the full committee - currently scheduled for Thursday. The House of Representatives, which has been holding only pro forma floor sessions, will likely take up this and the...

livestock

Importance of Market Tools

It has been a wild year for U.S. pork producers. It started out dreary but then hopes picked up when the Phase One agreement was signed with China. It again turned dark with COVID-19 when packers lacked labor and had to shut fabrication plants due to disease outbreaks. Subsequent improvements i...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 7 July)

Ocean Freight Insights and Comments - 2 July 2020 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Capesize dry-bulk vessels must be using rocket fuel in place of VLSFO as that market continued to skyrocket this week. Capesize owners and sellers felt embolden by the tight supply of available vessels in...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Egypt and Pakistan are working on the possibility of Egypt importing meat and dairy products. Reports say that work is being done on revising health certificates and developing veterinary protocols to make this possible. The poultry...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The CBOT opened on a firm note with a long holiday weekend filled with dry weather for most of the U.S. offering support. This week’s forecast was initially supportive, with hot/dry weather forecast for the major crop-growing regions, though afternoon model runs turned wetter for the last...

Future U.S. Trade Policy

Based on the current trajectory, there will be a new U.S. president in 2021, but how will it change American trade policy? For one, there will be less arbitrary and hyper-aggressive actions by Washington. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is so upset about the current U.S. Administration&r...

livestock

USDA Food Box Upends the FMMO Dairy

USDA extended the contracts for a second round of the Food Box Distribution program last week; the new round will run through 30 August. There were 205 contracts awarded; 189 were extended, 11 were not extended based on performance, and 16 new contractors were added and awarded with an addition...

Small, Slow and Inefficient

As noted previously, there is increasing attention to what a Biden Administration will mean to both agriculture and broader economic policy. It is not so much what Mr. Biden thinks, since he has proven to be a lifelong moderate, but rather the swirl of political forces around him that deserve a...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It seemed clear at the start of the day that this a weather market, and that today’s WASDE would contain few surprises. For the most part that remained true after the report was released and yet some things are inexplicable.  For example, the corn crop is threated by hot and dry weat...

livestock

USDA Reports: Protein Production Recovery, Global Trade Decline

Today’s WASDE showed USDA’s red meat and broiler production forecast up from last month. Last month’s WASDE total beef, pork and broiler production estimate for 2020 was bumped up to be 0.05 percent greater than 2019. This month it is projected to be 1.7 percent ahead of last...

livestock

Cattle Price Recovery Boosts Cow/Calf Profitability

Declining feed costs and higher prices for feeder cattle and cull cows have lifted WPI’s expectations of cow/calf profitability for 2020. Compared to our forecast one month ago, the “average” producer in Kansas is expected to lose $1.94/cow unit in 2020, an $18/cow unit improv...

Future Ag Policy; English Accent

Future Ag Policy Presumptive Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden released his Build Back Better economic agenda and while it ignores some progressive demands such as a Green New Deal, it is still Trumpish in that it holds a “Buy America” focus. It would use federal procureme...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

There was lots of gnashing of teeth as market calculations swung between possibly threatening weather conditions, seeming positive demand and a WASDE report tomorrow that may or may not spring a surprise or two. This is the critical time of the campaign for corn, and it is not a neutral period...

livestock

Livestock Round Up

The May export numbers were released this week; plant shutdowns which hit beef and pork packing plants reduced export totals month over month compared to April. Beef was particularly impacted and dropped to the lowest monthly value in 10 years. Beef export value per head of fed slaughter averag...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Soy Export Sales; Aquaculture Investment; Paraguay Soybeans

Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA export sales report showed a major increase in U.S. export sales of soybeans both for the current marketing year and MY 2020/21. Soybean exports also were up from last week. Net soybean export sales in the week ending 2 July totaled 952,200 MT for...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

The Dog Days of Summer

The ancient Greeks associated the rising brightness in the nighttime sky of Sirius, the Dog Star, with the arrival of summer heat and humidity. Sirius would become the brightest star in the sky about mid-July normally coinciding with the hottest, most uncomfortable part of summer. The Northern...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Wheat was the star of the CBOT as declining EU and Black Sea production estimates sparked short covering and risk-on trade. Yield prospects across Southern Russia have been disappointing, furthering the CBOT rally. Corn was eventually pulled higher by the wheat market while the soy complex rema...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

China In-Country Analysis

Macroeconomics Food Inflation Falls for Fourth Straight Month Average food prices continued to decline in May as the cost of fresh vegetables, fresh fruit, and eggs for consumers were down from a year ago. Meanwhile, the average price for pork, which has continued to increase, rose at a lower r...

wheat

Wheat Market Tightening

The wheat market is tightening as production cuts are hitting France, Russia and Ukraine, plus there has been an increase in tenders. Exports by France are expected to be 7.75 MMT, a 43 percent reduction from 2019/20. Meanwhile, Russia's IKAR reduced its estimate for the Russian wheat crop by 1...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains

Dalian Futures Market Analysis

Monthly Summary June Activity Surge Led by Corn, Egg, Palm, and Soybean Futures After the slowdown in May, trading volumes for agricultural futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange roared back in June as monthly trading volume rose by 34 percent. With a total volume of 93.41 million lots, June&...

soy-oilseeds feed-grains wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 29 June-3 July 2020 Harvesting was in progress and in the South and Volga Valley regions prices decreased. Yet, the decrease is not significant as the average yield so far has been lower than in 2019. For export market milling wheat, average 2020 yield price decreased to...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 8 July)

Freight Comments for 2 July 2020: By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Capesize dry-bulk vessels must be using rocket fuel in place of VLSFO as that market continued to skyrocket this week. Capesize owners and sellers felt embolden by the tight supply of available vessels in the Atlantic, an...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The CBOT opened on a defensive note Tuesday with generally favorable/steady crop conditions ratings for key corn/soy producing states reducing the need for a weather premium. Corn and soybeans walked back to test key support points, which is often typical after a sharp rally. The wheat market p...

The Price Ain’t Right; Food Standards Fraud; Opportunity Strikes

The Price Ain’t Right German Agriculture Minister Julia Kloeckner thinks the problem is inexpensive meat. She told Reuters that, “Meat is too cheap. Lurid advertising with low prices for meat does not fit with appreciation and sustainability…This is no longer acceptable.&rdqu...

Appropriations and More COVID-19 Aid: How to Handle?

The House Agriculture Subcommittee approved its version of the FY 2021 ag appropriations bill. The measure will now move to the full committee - currently scheduled for Thursday. The House of Representatives, which has been holding only pro forma floor sessions, will likely take up this and the...

livestock

Importance of Market Tools

It has been a wild year for U.S. pork producers. It started out dreary but then hopes picked up when the Phase One agreement was signed with China. It again turned dark with COVID-19 when packers lacked labor and had to shut fabrication plants due to disease outbreaks. Subsequent improvements i...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 7 July)

Ocean Freight Insights and Comments - 2 July 2020 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Capesize dry-bulk vessels must be using rocket fuel in place of VLSFO as that market continued to skyrocket this week. Capesize owners and sellers felt embolden by the tight supply of available vessels in...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Egypt and Pakistan are working on the possibility of Egypt importing meat and dairy products. Reports say that work is being done on revising health certificates and developing veterinary protocols to make this possible. The poultry...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The CBOT opened on a firm note with a long holiday weekend filled with dry weather for most of the U.S. offering support. This week’s forecast was initially supportive, with hot/dry weather forecast for the major crop-growing regions, though afternoon model runs turned wetter for the last...

Future U.S. Trade Policy

Based on the current trajectory, there will be a new U.S. president in 2021, but how will it change American trade policy? For one, there will be less arbitrary and hyper-aggressive actions by Washington. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is so upset about the current U.S. Administration&r...

livestock

USDA Food Box Upends the FMMO Dairy

USDA extended the contracts for a second round of the Food Box Distribution program last week; the new round will run through 30 August. There were 205 contracts awarded; 189 were extended, 11 were not extended based on performance, and 16 new contractors were added and awarded with an addition...

Select Filters to Apply

  • Markets
  • World

Search World Perspectives

Sign In to World Perspectives

Don’t have an account yet? Sign Up