World Perspectives

Recent Ag Perspectives Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

China In-Country Analysis

Livestock Senior Ag Ministry Official Warns of Sustained Low Hog Prices In a recent interview, the Deputy Director of MARA’s Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau said the excess supply of live hogs is here to stay for the time being. The agency head, Mr. Xin, said due to the robust grow...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Ag Markets Bounce, Pullback as Omicron Detected in U.S.

The CBOT started the day higher with corn and the soy complex leading the way after “buy on the bounce” and “risk on” trade developed overnight and in the early morning. Confirmation from the EU that Omicron coronavirus cases present with relatively mild symptoms and a l...

China Strategy; Biotech Breakout

China Strategy The U.S., EU and Japan have agreed to collaborate on how to deal with non-market economic practices – read China. The debate over how to address China is the most important topic in Washington these days. Opinions are varied. Former U.S. State Department official Daniel Rus...

livestock

AI Impact

As the media tracks the spread of the Omicron version of COVID, there are reports of additional outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) in Europe. Like COVID, there are many varieties of avian influenza (AI) with low pathogenic the predominant form but high pathogenic forms consti...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 22-26 November 2021 Russian grain market prices moved in different directions, but the changes were not dramatic. They took place mainly due to ruble weakening and an increase of export duties. Demand from domestic buyers decreased. Export milling wheat average offer pric...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 1 December)

Ocean Freight Comments - 18 November 2021 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Today’s dry-bulk refrain is, “have we hit bottom yet”. Volatility has certainly been the operative word for dry-bulk markets. One month ago, vessel owners believed rates were shooting for the moon. Af...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 1 December)

Ocean Freight Comments - 18 November 2021 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Today’s dry-bulk refrain is, “have we hit bottom yet”. Volatility has certainly been the operative word for dry-bulk markets. One month ago, vessel owners believed rates were shooting for the moon. Af...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: COVID Tanks Markets (again)

“… [covid’s] always on my mind, [covid’s] always on my mind.” With apologies to Willie Nelson, that was the tune markets were singing Tuesday. After a brief pause yesterday, crude oil, stocks, currencies, and commodities all continued Friday’s risk-off and l...

Anti-vaxxers Come to Ag; Identity Politics Come to Trade

Anti-vaxxers Come to Ag The Green Revolution created modern agriculture, which has been called a mechanism for turning fossil fuels (inputs) into food. In a matter of just a couple of decades, fertilizer, pesticides, and genetics enabled staple crop yields to triple. Now Europe is trying to str...

COVID Variant Inflation

The Senate Banking Committee held a hearing today entitled, “CARES Act Oversight of Treasury and the Federal Reserve: Building a Resilient Economy.” Testifying were Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary, and former Fed Chair, Janet Yellen. As the title suggests, the hear...

wheat

Aussie Wheat Importance

Although Australia produces less than 5 percent of global wheat output, it is typically the world’s fourth largest exporter. Due to its tendency toward drought, production can be variable but still correlates over time to global wheat ending stocks. The Australian Bureau of Agricultural a...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Pakistan and India are having difficulty in agreeing on the method to move Indian wheat to Afghanistan through Pakistan. While the shipment of 50,000 MT has been approved by Pakistan, it is insisting on the use of Pakistan trucks and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Ag Markets Weaker on Limited News, Strong U.S. Dollar, and Technical Selling

The CBOT was generally weaker to start the week with heavy overnight trade pushing wheat and soybeans higher while corn was lower. Today was the last trading day before first notice day on the 30 November and traders were actively exiting December positions. Given the general length in the CBOT...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 29 November)

Update for 29 November 2021:  If you don't see the app on the WPI homepage, you can always find it here: https://www.worldperspectives.com/articles/wpi-crop-progress-app The app contains a large volume of data, so please be patient while it loads.  Also, if you have any feedback about...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

December’s Legislative Traffic Jam

Congress has a busy December ahead of it, including keeping the government open and increasing the Treasury Department’s borrowing authority. As it stands, Congress is scheduled to go into recess a week from Friday, but that is not likely to happen, and instead could be in session right u...

India’s Dangerous Reversal; Dems vs. Coms

India’s Dangerous Reversal Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent reversal on farm policy reforms will reverberate for years to come. Essentially, the nation will revert to a system that used a market support price (MSP) to boost farmer income but at levels above what would al...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Last week was a short one for trading with Monday having been an Argentine holiday and Thursday marking the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday. Markets were, of course, extremely volatile on Friday, and these factors combined to keep developments limited in both FAS and FOB markets. Wheat  Good wea...

livestock

Poultry Politics

Inflation is worrisome to the public and so politicians feel compelled to deflect any blame from themselves. Thus, President Biden called for an FTC investigation of oil companies for rising gasoline prices even as his Administration has frozen certain federal lands from exploration and has rai...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  France has detected the highly pathogenic bird flu virus on a farm in the northern part of the country, officials said on Saturday. The news comes after several other European countries have detected outbreaks this fall.  Russian wheat farmers continue to face dry condi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: COVID-19 News Craters Markets; Corn, Wheat, and Cattle Show Strength Amid Selling

Once again, coronavirus dominated the market’s psychology and action after the WHO identified the new southern Africa strain as a “variant of concern” due to increased risk of reinfection. U.S. stock futures opened sharply lower when overnight trading began, with the Dow futur...

Cancellation of Convenience; Fox in the Henhouse

Cancellation of Convenience The WTO’s 12th ministerial conference scheduled to begin next week has reportedly been postponed due to news of a new COVID variant being circulated. The new variant provides a delay for a meeting that, at this juncture, did not have a lot of hope for agreement...

biofuel energy

Delayed RVOs Leads to Pushing Back RFS Compliance Deadlines

Recently, WPI reported on the Subcommittee on Commodity Exchanges, Energy, and Credit hearing about the timeline for the required volume obligations (RVOs) from EPA. We noted that Growth Energy, a biofuel trade association, informed EPA via a 2 November letter of its intent to file suit if...

Happy Thanksgiving

U.S. markets, including the CBOT and CME, are closed for the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, 25 November. Consequently, WPI’s offices will be closed as well and no issue of Ag Perspectives will be published. Ag Perspectives will resume Friday, 26 November. We wish everyone a happy...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds livestock

China In-Country Analysis

Livestock Senior Ag Ministry Official Warns of Sustained Low Hog Prices In a recent interview, the Deputy Director of MARA’s Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau said the excess supply of live hogs is here to stay for the time being. The agency head, Mr. Xin, said due to the robust grow...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Ag Markets Bounce, Pullback as Omicron Detected in U.S.

The CBOT started the day higher with corn and the soy complex leading the way after “buy on the bounce” and “risk on” trade developed overnight and in the early morning. Confirmation from the EU that Omicron coronavirus cases present with relatively mild symptoms and a l...

China Strategy; Biotech Breakout

China Strategy The U.S., EU and Japan have agreed to collaborate on how to deal with non-market economic practices – read China. The debate over how to address China is the most important topic in Washington these days. Opinions are varied. Former U.S. State Department official Daniel Rus...

livestock

AI Impact

As the media tracks the spread of the Omicron version of COVID, there are reports of additional outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) in Europe. Like COVID, there are many varieties of avian influenza (AI) with low pathogenic the predominant form but high pathogenic forms consti...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 22-26 November 2021 Russian grain market prices moved in different directions, but the changes were not dramatic. They took place mainly due to ruble weakening and an increase of export duties. Demand from domestic buyers decreased. Export milling wheat average offer pric...

FOB Prices and Freight Rate App (Updated 1 December)

Ocean Freight Comments - 18 November 2021 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Today’s dry-bulk refrain is, “have we hit bottom yet”. Volatility has certainly been the operative word for dry-bulk markets. One month ago, vessel owners believed rates were shooting for the moon. Af...

Interactive Ocean Freight Rates (Updated 1 December)

Ocean Freight Comments - 18 November 2021 By Jay O'Neil Commodity Consulting Today’s dry-bulk refrain is, “have we hit bottom yet”. Volatility has certainly been the operative word for dry-bulk markets. One month ago, vessel owners believed rates were shooting for the moon. Af...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: COVID Tanks Markets (again)

“… [covid’s] always on my mind, [covid’s] always on my mind.” With apologies to Willie Nelson, that was the tune markets were singing Tuesday. After a brief pause yesterday, crude oil, stocks, currencies, and commodities all continued Friday’s risk-off and l...

Anti-vaxxers Come to Ag; Identity Politics Come to Trade

Anti-vaxxers Come to Ag The Green Revolution created modern agriculture, which has been called a mechanism for turning fossil fuels (inputs) into food. In a matter of just a couple of decades, fertilizer, pesticides, and genetics enabled staple crop yields to triple. Now Europe is trying to str...

COVID Variant Inflation

The Senate Banking Committee held a hearing today entitled, “CARES Act Oversight of Treasury and the Federal Reserve: Building a Resilient Economy.” Testifying were Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary, and former Fed Chair, Janet Yellen. As the title suggests, the hear...

wheat

Aussie Wheat Importance

Although Australia produces less than 5 percent of global wheat output, it is typically the world’s fourth largest exporter. Due to its tendency toward drought, production can be variable but still correlates over time to global wheat ending stocks. The Australian Bureau of Agricultural a...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Pakistan and India are having difficulty in agreeing on the method to move Indian wheat to Afghanistan through Pakistan. While the shipment of 50,000 MT has been approved by Pakistan, it is insisting on the use of Pakistan trucks and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Ag Markets Weaker on Limited News, Strong U.S. Dollar, and Technical Selling

The CBOT was generally weaker to start the week with heavy overnight trade pushing wheat and soybeans higher while corn was lower. Today was the last trading day before first notice day on the 30 November and traders were actively exiting December positions. Given the general length in the CBOT...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 29 November)

Update for 29 November 2021:  If you don't see the app on the WPI homepage, you can always find it here: https://www.worldperspectives.com/articles/wpi-crop-progress-app The app contains a large volume of data, so please be patient while it loads.  Also, if you have any feedback about...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity markets. The data is, of course, taken from the CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders report, using the futures only data. WPI recently completed a...

December’s Legislative Traffic Jam

Congress has a busy December ahead of it, including keeping the government open and increasing the Treasury Department’s borrowing authority. As it stands, Congress is scheduled to go into recess a week from Friday, but that is not likely to happen, and instead could be in session right u...

India’s Dangerous Reversal; Dems vs. Coms

India’s Dangerous Reversal Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent reversal on farm policy reforms will reverberate for years to come. Essentially, the nation will revert to a system that used a market support price (MSP) to boost farmer income but at levels above what would al...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Last week was a short one for trading with Monday having been an Argentine holiday and Thursday marking the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday. Markets were, of course, extremely volatile on Friday, and these factors combined to keep developments limited in both FAS and FOB markets. Wheat  Good wea...

livestock

Poultry Politics

Inflation is worrisome to the public and so politicians feel compelled to deflect any blame from themselves. Thus, President Biden called for an FTC investigation of oil companies for rising gasoline prices even as his Administration has frozen certain federal lands from exploration and has rai...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

European Market Analysis

Regional News  France has detected the highly pathogenic bird flu virus on a farm in the northern part of the country, officials said on Saturday. The news comes after several other European countries have detected outbreaks this fall.  Russian wheat farmers continue to face dry condi...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: COVID-19 News Craters Markets; Corn, Wheat, and Cattle Show Strength Amid Selling

Once again, coronavirus dominated the market’s psychology and action after the WHO identified the new southern Africa strain as a “variant of concern” due to increased risk of reinfection. U.S. stock futures opened sharply lower when overnight trading began, with the Dow futur...

Cancellation of Convenience; Fox in the Henhouse

Cancellation of Convenience The WTO’s 12th ministerial conference scheduled to begin next week has reportedly been postponed due to news of a new COVID variant being circulated. The new variant provides a delay for a meeting that, at this juncture, did not have a lot of hope for agreement...

biofuel energy

Delayed RVOs Leads to Pushing Back RFS Compliance Deadlines

Recently, WPI reported on the Subcommittee on Commodity Exchanges, Energy, and Credit hearing about the timeline for the required volume obligations (RVOs) from EPA. We noted that Growth Energy, a biofuel trade association, informed EPA via a 2 November letter of its intent to file suit if...

Happy Thanksgiving

U.S. markets, including the CBOT and CME, are closed for the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, 25 November. Consequently, WPI’s offices will be closed as well and no issue of Ag Perspectives will be published. Ag Perspectives will resume Friday, 26 November. We wish everyone a happy...

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