World Perspectives

Recent Black Sea Analysis

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4-8 February 2019 Domestic grain prices all increased except for a few that remained stable. However, the average milling wheat export price fell $1/MT to $246/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices were unchanged in RUB expression while decreasing in USD expression to $22...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAS/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Egypt’s Cairo3a Poultry, a major company in grain trading and poultry production with other interests in agriculture and transportation, has signed a $90 million contract with KarmSolar for a solar project that will supply 100 percent of...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Brazil Soy Crop; WASDE Changes for Soy Sector

Brazil Soy Crop Keeps Declining The size of the Brazilian soybean crop seems to decline with each passing week. Most estimates by government and private analysts are now at least 12 MMT below earlier forecasts of around 125 MMT, and some have it much smaller than that. USDA’s estimate of...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market remained about unchanged last week. Russia’s domestic market was about 200 rubles ($3)/MT higher. Its exports are slowing significantly as the higher prices and unofficial export barriers are doing their job. The Egyptian GASC purchased 300 KMT last week...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets were generally better overnight and this morning following Thursday’s pre-USDA report sell-off. Yesterday’s losses were primarily the result of the numerous comments by various U.S. administration officials that the China trade deal isn’t done yet. There was virtually...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

According to USDA: U.S. corn production is estimated at 14.420 billion bushels, down 206 million on reduction in yield to 176.4 bushels per acre. Harvested area is down fractionally. Corn use is down 165 million bushels to 14.865 billion. FSI use is lowered 40 million bushels, reflecting reduct...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

According to USDA: Projected 2018/19 wheat ending stocks are raised 36 million bushels on reduced feed and residual use and lower seed use.  Feed and residual use is lowered 30 million bushels on larger than expected second-quarter stocks reported in today’s NASS Grain Stocks report...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 28 January-1 February 2019 Domestic grain prices continued to increase with the exception of a few that remained steady. The slower growth rate for wheat prices was partially attributable to fewer exports.  The average milling wheat export price rose to $247/MT FOB B...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea FOB market remained about unchanged last week, while the domestic market in Russia was reportedly $2-4 higher. Weather conditions in Russia and Ukraine remain favorable for winter wheat development with still enough snow to protect the crop from freezing. The Egyptia...

soy-oilseeds biofuel

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; China Soy Imports; Argentine Biodiesel; Russia-Brazil Soy Trade; South American Soy Crops

U.S. Soy Export Sales Highlights – Finally Today USDA issued its first export sales report in over a month, but only the week ending 20 December was covered (all data discussed below pertains to that week). As noted in yesterday’s Market Commentary, the normal publication schedule w...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 21-25 January 2019 Most domestic grain prices continued to grow as demand increased. Milling wheat prices also rose because processors boosted their purchase prices. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat export price jumped to $246/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at...

feed-grains wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Egypt’s GASC has announced that future wheat tenders will be paid by letters of credit on sight terms. Financial support from the Islamic Trade Finance Corporation has made the new payment terms possible, and this is expected to lower th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Many were hopeful that last Friday’s actions to reopen the U.S. government plus some optimism that this week’s meeting with China will go well would have a positive impact on agricultural and equity markets, but just the opposite happened. Wheat, corn and soybean markets were lower...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was very firm last week. Domestic prices in Russia were reported to be $5-8 higher/MT than the previous week. There were rumors that the Russian government plans to start regulating domestic prices due to the excessive export pace during July through mid-Janua...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is always difficult to trade grain and soy futures based on politics and political rhetoric, and this truism is proving itself once again. Markets were lower yesterday on discouraging comments from various sources about the state of U.S.-Chinese negotiations. They were then buoyed early toda...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 14-18 January 2019 All domestic grain increased in both RUB and USD expression. The average milling wheat export price rose $3/MT to $243/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew to $218-220/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export price dropped...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is now well into the second month of the partial government shutdown, and the blackout of the usual information from USDA continues. The only regular report still coming out is the weekly one from FGIS on the volumes of grain and soybeans inspected for export. This is made possible only by t...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Last Thursday Egypt reopened the five ports that had been closed the previous Sunday because of weather conditions. Meanwhile, Egypt has closed several poultry farms due to their failure to provide samples for analysis in the effort to control...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 8-11 January 2019 All domestic grain prices (except for milling rye) rose in RUB expression, but the growth in USD expression was significant due to the strengthening ruble. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat export price increased $2/MT to $240/MT FOB Black Sea, while...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy markets tried to generate a “Turnaround Tuesday” during the overnight session but struggled to hold on to minor gains. This difficulty was a signal that Tuesday might be a tough day for the markets, and so it was. Markets assume that China has purchased 5 MMT of soybea...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Please note that today’s report is abbreviated because of the holidays.   Kazakhstan: 11.5 MMT of Grain Transported by Kazakhstan Temir Zholy in 2018 According to the report published by Kazakhstan Temir Zholy (the national railway company), it transported 11.5 MMT of grain in 2018...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EASTMEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Syria reports that four vessels carrying 80,000 MT of Russian wheat have arrived at its Tartous and Latakia ports. Pakistan is tendering to sell 100,000 MT of wheat for export on 11 January 2019. Participation is expected to be very good with b...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market remained about unchanged last week. The holiday period in Russia and Ukraine will continue until the end of this week. Russia’s export pace is expected to decrease significantly in January versus December. The market is still calm as buyers/consumers ant...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Market Commentary

Traders began the first trading day of 2019 figuratively wearing the blindfold resulting from the lack of USDA information due to the partial government shutdown, which in now in its 13th day. This afternoon, President Trump is meeting again with congressional leaders of both parties in another...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4-8 February 2019 Domestic grain prices all increased except for a few that remained stable. However, the average milling wheat export price fell $1/MT to $246/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices were unchanged in RUB expression while decreasing in USD expression to $22...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAS/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Egypt’s Cairo3a Poultry, a major company in grain trading and poultry production with other interests in agriculture and transportation, has signed a $90 million contract with KarmSolar for a solar project that will supply 100 percent of...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Brazil Soy Crop; WASDE Changes for Soy Sector

Brazil Soy Crop Keeps Declining The size of the Brazilian soybean crop seems to decline with each passing week. Most estimates by government and private analysts are now at least 12 MMT below earlier forecasts of around 125 MMT, and some have it much smaller than that. USDA’s estimate of...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market remained about unchanged last week. Russia’s domestic market was about 200 rubles ($3)/MT higher. Its exports are slowing significantly as the higher prices and unofficial export barriers are doing their job. The Egyptian GASC purchased 300 KMT last week...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets were generally better overnight and this morning following Thursday’s pre-USDA report sell-off. Yesterday’s losses were primarily the result of the numerous comments by various U.S. administration officials that the China trade deal isn’t done yet. There was virtually...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

According to USDA: U.S. corn production is estimated at 14.420 billion bushels, down 206 million on reduction in yield to 176.4 bushels per acre. Harvested area is down fractionally. Corn use is down 165 million bushels to 14.865 billion. FSI use is lowered 40 million bushels, reflecting reduct...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

According to USDA: Projected 2018/19 wheat ending stocks are raised 36 million bushels on reduced feed and residual use and lower seed use.  Feed and residual use is lowered 30 million bushels on larger than expected second-quarter stocks reported in today’s NASS Grain Stocks report...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 28 January-1 February 2019 Domestic grain prices continued to increase with the exception of a few that remained steady. The slower growth rate for wheat prices was partially attributable to fewer exports.  The average milling wheat export price rose to $247/MT FOB B...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea FOB market remained about unchanged last week, while the domestic market in Russia was reportedly $2-4 higher. Weather conditions in Russia and Ukraine remain favorable for winter wheat development with still enough snow to protect the crop from freezing. The Egyptia...

soy-oilseeds biofuel

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; China Soy Imports; Argentine Biodiesel; Russia-Brazil Soy Trade; South American Soy Crops

U.S. Soy Export Sales Highlights – Finally Today USDA issued its first export sales report in over a month, but only the week ending 20 December was covered (all data discussed below pertains to that week). As noted in yesterday’s Market Commentary, the normal publication schedule w...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 21-25 January 2019 Most domestic grain prices continued to grow as demand increased. Milling wheat prices also rose because processors boosted their purchase prices. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat export price jumped to $246/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at...

feed-grains wheat

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Egypt’s GASC has announced that future wheat tenders will be paid by letters of credit on sight terms. Financial support from the Islamic Trade Finance Corporation has made the new payment terms possible, and this is expected to lower th...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Many were hopeful that last Friday’s actions to reopen the U.S. government plus some optimism that this week’s meeting with China will go well would have a positive impact on agricultural and equity markets, but just the opposite happened. Wheat, corn and soybean markets were lower...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was very firm last week. Domestic prices in Russia were reported to be $5-8 higher/MT than the previous week. There were rumors that the Russian government plans to start regulating domestic prices due to the excessive export pace during July through mid-Janua...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is always difficult to trade grain and soy futures based on politics and political rhetoric, and this truism is proving itself once again. Markets were lower yesterday on discouraging comments from various sources about the state of U.S.-Chinese negotiations. They were then buoyed early toda...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 14-18 January 2019 All domestic grain increased in both RUB and USD expression. The average milling wheat export price rose $3/MT to $243/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices at seaports grew to $218-220/MT CPT-Black Sea port. The average feed barley export price dropped...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is now well into the second month of the partial government shutdown, and the blackout of the usual information from USDA continues. The only regular report still coming out is the weekly one from FGIS on the volumes of grain and soybeans inspected for export. This is made possible only by t...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Last Thursday Egypt reopened the five ports that had been closed the previous Sunday because of weather conditions. Meanwhile, Egypt has closed several poultry farms due to their failure to provide samples for analysis in the effort to control...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 8-11 January 2019 All domestic grain prices (except for milling rye) rose in RUB expression, but the growth in USD expression was significant due to the strengthening ruble. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat export price increased $2/MT to $240/MT FOB Black Sea, while...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy markets tried to generate a “Turnaround Tuesday” during the overnight session but struggled to hold on to minor gains. This difficulty was a signal that Tuesday might be a tough day for the markets, and so it was. Markets assume that China has purchased 5 MMT of soybea...

feed-grains wheat soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Please note that today’s report is abbreviated because of the holidays.   Kazakhstan: 11.5 MMT of Grain Transported by Kazakhstan Temir Zholy in 2018 According to the report published by Kazakhstan Temir Zholy (the national railway company), it transported 11.5 MMT of grain in 2018...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EASTMEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Syria reports that four vessels carrying 80,000 MT of Russian wheat have arrived at its Tartous and Latakia ports. Pakistan is tendering to sell 100,000 MT of wheat for export on 11 January 2019. Participation is expected to be very good with b...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market remained about unchanged last week. The holiday period in Russia and Ukraine will continue until the end of this week. Russia’s export pace is expected to decrease significantly in January versus December. The market is still calm as buyers/consumers ant...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Market Commentary

Traders began the first trading day of 2019 figuratively wearing the blindfold resulting from the lack of USDA information due to the partial government shutdown, which in now in its 13th day. This afternoon, President Trump is meeting again with congressional leaders of both parties in another...

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