World Perspectives

Recent Black Sea Analysis

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight session opened with little price direction. Grain and soy prices were down just slightly, although they recovered enough to trade in mixed fashion but very light volume. At the morning recess, corn and soybeans were in slightly positive territory, but wheat was a little weaker. Th...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Morocco has reportedly reduced the import tariff on grains from Russia to zero, although it has not been a major importer of that origin with only a few wheat shipments from there to date in 2018. Russia does hope that it will import more, and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Wheat, corn and soybean markets started higher Sunday night, and they held those small gains throughout the entire session. The relatively light volume then continued through today to start the week before Christmas. The market had been expecting an announcement of additional soybean export sal...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Market Overview The soybeans market was surprised last week when the U.S. government announced that 1.4 MMT of soybeans had been sold to China. There were talks of potential sales up to 4 MMT, which current information seems to indicate have not occurred. Nevertheless, the announcement...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market is firmer as stocks are decreasing. Russia has already exported 21 MMT since the start of the campaign, and those stocks in the southern region are significantly depleted. The remaining wheat must be transported from areas located far from the ports at a highe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is hard to keep track of the rumors flying around concerning Chinese plans to buy U.S. soybeans. Their most common thread has China buying 5-8 MMT, although there are several versions of this rumor. One has Sinograin and COFCO, a state-owned trading company, as the buyers since both would pr...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 3-7 December 2018 Active demand drove domestic grain prices higher except for corn, which had a slight decline in the South. The average milling wheat export price rose +$2/MT to $230/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable in RUB expression while sl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It has been more than 10 days since the Trump-Xi meeting in Buenos Aires wherein, according to President Trump and others in attendance, China agreed to purchase a large quantity of U.S agricultural and energy products. Yet there is no apparent sign to date that actual business has occurred. Gr...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: China and U.S. Soybean Imports; WASDE and the Soy Sector

China Apparently Deciding How Many U.S. Soybean to Import At their meeting in Buenos Aires, President Trump was able to get a commitment from President Xi to import a substantial volume of U.S. soybeans and other commodities during the 90-day truce in the trade war. Hong Kong’s South Chin...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA notes the following about Coarse Grains: This month’s 2018/19 U.S. corn outlook is for lower corn used for ethanol, reduced imports, and larger ending stocks. Imports are lowered based on observed trade to date. Corn used to produce ethanol is reduced 50 million bushels to 5.6 billio...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The December WASDE

In truth, there is not much to analyze in USDA’s December WASDE. It contained no changes in estimated U.S. yields or corn and soybean production levels. Those will come as the final such estimates in the January WASDE. However, there were some changes in production estimates for other cou...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Middle East/North Africa (MENA) buyers of Ukraine’s wheat and corn are very concerned about the situation that has developed between that country and Russia in the Kerch Strait that abuts Crimea. While Russia says that the strait is oper...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Market Overview Last week was another that featured weaker Brazilian basis pushing levels lower with each passing day. The Chinese are waiting for margins to rebound or an announcement of a trade deal with the U.S., which seems unlikely in the very near term. In fact, any such agreemen...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was slightly firmer last week on slower farmer selling. Domestic prices in Russia were about $1-2MT higher, and the export pace from there is slowing due to the shrinking surplus and winter conditions. Those exports totaled approximately 500 KMT for the first...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The extremely wild gyrations in U.S. equity markets are a good indication that no one knows where the U.S./China trade dispute is headed as well as a sign that it is the rest of the economy that overshadows agricultural concerns. It has been nearly a week since the Trump/Xi dinner in Argentina,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The arrest in Vancouver, Canada of Meng Wanzhou, a high-ranking executive of giant Chinese cellular technology company Huawei, and her pending extradition to the U.S. on charges of violating Iranian sanctions pose a potential roadblock for U.S.-China trade negotiations. Huawei has close ties to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight grain and soy futures session was quiet. Prices for soybeans, wheat and corn were a bit weaker with wheat being the softest. Basically, traders did not know what to do. Trade was constrained by widespread concern that the so-called deal between President Trump and President Xi did...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Federation blocking Kerch Strait: Impacts on Foreign Trade, Political and Economic Outlook After 10 days of Russian blockage of the Kerch Strait in the Azov Sea, Ukraine announced on 4 December that it had resumed grain shipments, marking the end of the military standoff. On 25 November...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Grain importers in the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) region are concerned that Russia’s actions in the Kerch Strait, which connects the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, could affect shipments from Ukraine. The delay in allowing vessels b...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market remained about unchanged last week. The conflict in the Azov Sea did not significantly impact prices despite the loading difficulties at Ukraine’s Mariupol and Berdyansk seaports there, which are shipping less than 5 percent of the country’s total...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn Prices Continue to Rise; Imports Required In the past 15 days, prices in the key corn production/consumption hubs have risen 6.7-9.6 percent and are 29 percent higher than last year. Two possible reasons for this are the higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP) announced by the government of In...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy prices were mostly lower overnight, although not greatly so considering the general strength across the board yesterday. The day session was dominated by whichever way the China trade winds seemed to be blowing. There were optimistic tweets from President Trump that a deal with Ch...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Cash-Settled Wheat Futures

As trading of agricultural crop futures contracts evolved in the 19th century at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), there were futures markets for wheat, corn, oats, rye and hay. In the 20th century, trading in the hay and rye markets diminished so much that the CBOT eventually dropped them. Ho...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - November 2018

WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, the U.S. soybean crushing complex, the U.S. meat and livestock industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight session opened with little price direction. Grain and soy prices were down just slightly, although they recovered enough to trade in mixed fashion but very light volume. At the morning recess, corn and soybeans were in slightly positive territory, but wheat was a little weaker. Th...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Morocco has reportedly reduced the import tariff on grains from Russia to zero, although it has not been a major importer of that origin with only a few wheat shipments from there to date in 2018. Russia does hope that it will import more, and...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Wheat, corn and soybean markets started higher Sunday night, and they held those small gains throughout the entire session. The relatively light volume then continued through today to start the week before Christmas. The market had been expecting an announcement of additional soybean export sal...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Market Overview The soybeans market was surprised last week when the U.S. government announced that 1.4 MMT of soybeans had been sold to China. There were talks of potential sales up to 4 MMT, which current information seems to indicate have not occurred. Nevertheless, the announcement...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market is firmer as stocks are decreasing. Russia has already exported 21 MMT since the start of the campaign, and those stocks in the southern region are significantly depleted. The remaining wheat must be transported from areas located far from the ports at a highe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It is hard to keep track of the rumors flying around concerning Chinese plans to buy U.S. soybeans. Their most common thread has China buying 5-8 MMT, although there are several versions of this rumor. One has Sinograin and COFCO, a state-owned trading company, as the buyers since both would pr...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 3-7 December 2018 Active demand drove domestic grain prices higher except for corn, which had a slight decline in the South. The average milling wheat export price rose +$2/MT to $230/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices at seaports were stable in RUB expression while sl...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

It has been more than 10 days since the Trump-Xi meeting in Buenos Aires wherein, according to President Trump and others in attendance, China agreed to purchase a large quantity of U.S agricultural and energy products. Yet there is no apparent sign to date that actual business has occurred. Gr...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: China and U.S. Soybean Imports; WASDE and the Soy Sector

China Apparently Deciding How Many U.S. Soybean to Import At their meeting in Buenos Aires, President Trump was able to get a commitment from President Xi to import a substantial volume of U.S. soybeans and other commodities during the 90-day truce in the trade war. Hong Kong’s South Chin...

feed-grains

WASDE Corn

USDA notes the following about Coarse Grains: This month’s 2018/19 U.S. corn outlook is for lower corn used for ethanol, reduced imports, and larger ending stocks. Imports are lowered based on observed trade to date. Corn used to produce ethanol is reduced 50 million bushels to 5.6 billio...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

The December WASDE

In truth, there is not much to analyze in USDA’s December WASDE. It contained no changes in estimated U.S. yields or corn and soybean production levels. Those will come as the final such estimates in the January WASDE. However, there were some changes in production estimates for other cou...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Middle East/North Africa (MENA) buyers of Ukraine’s wheat and corn are very concerned about the situation that has developed between that country and Russia in the Kerch Strait that abuts Crimea. While Russia says that the strait is oper...

soy-oilseeds wheat feed-grains

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Soybeans Market Overview Last week was another that featured weaker Brazilian basis pushing levels lower with each passing day. The Chinese are waiting for margins to rebound or an announcement of a trade deal with the U.S., which seems unlikely in the very near term. In fact, any such agreemen...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market was slightly firmer last week on slower farmer selling. Domestic prices in Russia were about $1-2MT higher, and the export pace from there is slowing due to the shrinking surplus and winter conditions. Those exports totaled approximately 500 KMT for the first...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The extremely wild gyrations in U.S. equity markets are a good indication that no one knows where the U.S./China trade dispute is headed as well as a sign that it is the rest of the economy that overshadows agricultural concerns. It has been nearly a week since the Trump/Xi dinner in Argentina,...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The arrest in Vancouver, Canada of Meng Wanzhou, a high-ranking executive of giant Chinese cellular technology company Huawei, and her pending extradition to the U.S. on charges of violating Iranian sanctions pose a potential roadblock for U.S.-China trade negotiations. Huawei has close ties to...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

The overnight grain and soy futures session was quiet. Prices for soybeans, wheat and corn were a bit weaker with wheat being the softest. Basically, traders did not know what to do. Trade was constrained by widespread concern that the so-called deal between President Trump and President Xi did...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Federation blocking Kerch Strait: Impacts on Foreign Trade, Political and Economic Outlook After 10 days of Russian blockage of the Kerch Strait in the Azov Sea, Ukraine announced on 4 December that it had resumed grain shipments, marking the end of the military standoff. On 25 November...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS Grain importers in the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) region are concerned that Russia’s actions in the Kerch Strait, which connects the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, could affect shipments from Ukraine. The delay in allowing vessels b...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market remained about unchanged last week. The conflict in the Azov Sea did not significantly impact prices despite the loading difficulties at Ukraine’s Mariupol and Berdyansk seaports there, which are shipping less than 5 percent of the country’s total...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds

India Subcontinent Regional Analysis

Corn Prices Continue to Rise; Imports Required In the past 15 days, prices in the key corn production/consumption hubs have risen 6.7-9.6 percent and are 29 percent higher than last year. Two possible reasons for this are the higher Minimum Support Prices (MSP) announced by the government of In...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Grain and soy prices were mostly lower overnight, although not greatly so considering the general strength across the board yesterday. The day session was dominated by whichever way the China trade winds seemed to be blowing. There were optimistic tweets from President Trump that a deal with Ch...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Cash-Settled Wheat Futures

As trading of agricultural crop futures contracts evolved in the 19th century at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), there were futures markets for wheat, corn, oats, rye and hay. In the 20th century, trading in the hay and rye markets diminished so much that the CBOT eventually dropped them. Ho...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Ag Review - November 2018

WPI's monthly publication features analyses of U.S. agribusiness, the U.S. soybean crushing complex, the U.S. meat and livestock industry, the global outlook for farm inputs, and policy trends. It also provides a review of agribusiness stock prices along with expectations for future performance...

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