World Perspectives

Recent Europe Analysis

Failed Tomato Farmers; Blasé Program Changes; New Transatlantic Conditionality

Failed Tomato Farmers The most efficient way to grow tomatoes is in greenhouses or hot houses. Most Mexican tomatoes are grown this way, but Florida growers have failed to adopt this form of protected agriculture, and the result is that their domestic market share has fallen to 41 percent. They...

Policy Opportunities and Risks

Two new reports out this week present government policymakers with informative but confusing insights on public perceptions. The United Nations issued its seventh “World Happiness Report,” and the OECD issued a first “Risks that Matter” tome. The volumes rely heavily on...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 11-15 March 2019 Domestic grain prices decreased in RUB expression but moved in different directions or remained unchanged in USD expression. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat export price fell $4/MT to $224/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices dropped to $195-198/MT...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight trading was a mixed and low volume affair. The grains were slightly higher, and soybeans were just below Monday’s close. None of the lead contracts were able to muster as much as 10,000 contracts of trading volume. The day session began with a modest rally effort, but that did n...

Drowning Transatlantic; Geneva Ag Discussions; Bilateral Stunts

Drowning Transatlantic At 8.4 kilometers (5.2 miles) deep, the Puerto Rico Trench is the deepest point in the North Atlantic Ocean. Transatlantic relations may be headed for an even deeper depression. The European Parliament voted against endorsing the trade mandate sought by Brussels for talks...

feed-grains

March Corn Update

There have been changes to the 2018/19 corn balance sheet since our first look at the potential supply/demand outlook on 18 January. USDA reduced the export and ethanol forecasts by 75 million bushels and 25 million bushels, respectively, in the March WASDE. The result was a 100 million bushel...

EU-U.S. Tentative Deal on Beef

Even though the EU-U.S. trade agreement talks are not moving apace, largely because of the EU reluctance to include agriculture versus U.S. insistence that it must be on the table, there does seem to be movement on beef exports. The parties have reached an “agreement in principle” t...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market has reversed the downward trend it had been following since January. The buyers/consumers have certainly appreciated the $20 collapse, and they don’t want to miss the opportunity to lock in the current prices. Russia’s exports have reached 30 MMT,...

Against the Grain; Bipartisan Horses; China and EU Deals

Against the Grain Demographics are destiny, and with 60 percent of the world’s population and some of its fastest-growing economies, this is supposed to be the Asian Century. That is the theme of the book “The Future is Asian” by Singaporean geopolitical consultant Parag Khann...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and soybean markets were steady to slightly higher overnight with wheat 1-2 cents lower. Soybean futures led the markets all higher this morning on another round of positive news surrounding the China/U.S. trade talks. It seems that most are now convinced an agreement is near. This belief...

Trump’s China Mystery; The EU Bullseye; SOEs in Focus

Trump’s China Mystery U.S. President Donald’s Trump’s characterization of his negotiations with the Chinese are not adding up unless Xi’s government is having troubles. He has softened his strategy, and the Chinese are playing nice. He is as unconventional as ever. Mr. T...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Traders showed more interest in the overnight session. Volume was not back to Tuesday’s level, but it was notably higher than Wednesday’s. Pricewise, the results were mixed. Grains were steady to firm, but soybeans traded mostly lower. A wire service reported late in the overnight s...

soy-oilseeds biofuel

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; EU Biodiesel, Palm Oil Futures; EU Rapeseed

U.S. Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA weekly export sales report indicated U.S. exporters were quite successful selling soybeans to China and elsewhere in the week ending 7 March. Meanwhile, soymeal and soyoil export sales were relatively modest. Net soybean export sales for shipm...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

NASS has decided to no longer conduct actual field surveys in compiling production and yield estimates for corn and soybeans in the August WASDE as they are deemed too early at that time to be very meaningful. It will instead only use farmer surveys, weather/yield models and satellite data. Fie...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4-7 March 2019 Grain prices on the domestic market mainly decreased under pressure from negative trends on the export market. The average milling wheat export price dropped $2/MT to $228/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices grew to $201-203/MT CPT-Black Sea port. Meanwhi...

Anti-Reform’s Fishy Excuses; Commodity Glut; Government over People

Anti-Reform’s Fishy Excuses USTR Robert Lighthizer told the Senate Finance Committee that the WTO rules are out of date and need reform. This is evidenced by reports that U.S. complaints about the self-designation of developing country status are causing collateral damage to negotiations...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Where Have All the Bulls Gone?

It has been a very tough few weeks for grain and soy market bulls, assuming there are still any left. Those markets have been in a rather steady retreat with hardly any respite, although they have managed a bounce today. Along the way, the wheat and corn markets have set a series of new contrac...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS The Egyptian GASC has rejected a shipment of Romanian wheat, saying that it does not meet tender specifications. The falling number analysis shows 130 seconds, while the tender standard is 200 seconds. Falling number is important in bread baki...

China Purchasing Commitments; WTO Leverage

China Purchasing Commitments One of the Trump administration’s goals in negotiating a trade deal with China is to get Beijing’s commitment to buy more American farm products, especially soybeans as well as perhaps some sorghum and DDGS. China can only import what it needs, though, a...

wheat

Funds Slam the Markets

Last week’s Commitment of Traders (COT) report confirmed that funds (i.e., managed money) continued to expand their short positions in corn, soybeans, soymeal and wheat to either record-large levels or very nearly so. They had very little opposition to pressing the short side before last...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market continues to erode in sympathy with the MATIF and CBOT futures. Russia has exported approximately 29.5 MMT since the start of the campaign. The weather in southern Russia and Ukraine is mild for the season. The snow is melting, and vegetation will soon resume...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

According to USDA:  Soybean crush is raised 10 million bushels to 2,100 million on higher domestic disappearance of soybean meal and a lower soybean meal extraction rate reflecting data reported by NASS in the Oilseed Crushings report.  Soybean meal price is unchanged at $295 to $335...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

According to USDA: The outlook for 2018/19 U.S. wheat this month is for larger supplies, lower exports, reduced domestic use, and higher ending stocks.  Supplies are increased by 5 million bushels on higher imports.  Wheat exports are lowered 35 million bushels to 965 million with red...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets tried to be slightly better overnight and this morning in hope that today’s USDA’s reports might contain some positive news. There was nothing in the WASDE that could be considered even slightly bullish. It was the opposite as ending supplies for U.S. wheat and corn were hig...

Failed Tomato Farmers; Blasé Program Changes; New Transatlantic Conditionality

Failed Tomato Farmers The most efficient way to grow tomatoes is in greenhouses or hot houses. Most Mexican tomatoes are grown this way, but Florida growers have failed to adopt this form of protected agriculture, and the result is that their domestic market share has fallen to 41 percent. They...

Policy Opportunities and Risks

Two new reports out this week present government policymakers with informative but confusing insights on public perceptions. The United Nations issued its seventh “World Happiness Report,” and the OECD issued a first “Risks that Matter” tome. The volumes rely heavily on...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 11-15 March 2019 Domestic grain prices decreased in RUB expression but moved in different directions or remained unchanged in USD expression. Meanwhile, the average milling wheat export price fell $4/MT to $224/MT FOB Black Sea, and purchase prices dropped to $195-198/MT...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Overnight trading was a mixed and low volume affair. The grains were slightly higher, and soybeans were just below Monday’s close. None of the lead contracts were able to muster as much as 10,000 contracts of trading volume. The day session began with a modest rally effort, but that did n...

Drowning Transatlantic; Geneva Ag Discussions; Bilateral Stunts

Drowning Transatlantic At 8.4 kilometers (5.2 miles) deep, the Puerto Rico Trench is the deepest point in the North Atlantic Ocean. Transatlantic relations may be headed for an even deeper depression. The European Parliament voted against endorsing the trade mandate sought by Brussels for talks...

feed-grains

March Corn Update

There have been changes to the 2018/19 corn balance sheet since our first look at the potential supply/demand outlook on 18 January. USDA reduced the export and ethanol forecasts by 75 million bushels and 25 million bushels, respectively, in the March WASDE. The result was a 100 million bushel...

EU-U.S. Tentative Deal on Beef

Even though the EU-U.S. trade agreement talks are not moving apace, largely because of the EU reluctance to include agriculture versus U.S. insistence that it must be on the table, there does seem to be movement on beef exports. The parties have reached an “agreement in principle” t...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market has reversed the downward trend it had been following since January. The buyers/consumers have certainly appreciated the $20 collapse, and they don’t want to miss the opportunity to lock in the current prices. Russia’s exports have reached 30 MMT,...

Against the Grain; Bipartisan Horses; China and EU Deals

Against the Grain Demographics are destiny, and with 60 percent of the world’s population and some of its fastest-growing economies, this is supposed to be the Asian Century. That is the theme of the book “The Future is Asian” by Singaporean geopolitical consultant Parag Khann...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Corn and soybean markets were steady to slightly higher overnight with wheat 1-2 cents lower. Soybean futures led the markets all higher this morning on another round of positive news surrounding the China/U.S. trade talks. It seems that most are now convinced an agreement is near. This belief...

Trump’s China Mystery; The EU Bullseye; SOEs in Focus

Trump’s China Mystery U.S. President Donald’s Trump’s characterization of his negotiations with the Chinese are not adding up unless Xi’s government is having troubles. He has softened his strategy, and the Chinese are playing nice. He is as unconventional as ever. Mr. T...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Traders showed more interest in the overnight session. Volume was not back to Tuesday’s level, but it was notably higher than Wednesday’s. Pricewise, the results were mixed. Grains were steady to firm, but soybeans traded mostly lower. A wire service reported late in the overnight s...

soy-oilseeds biofuel

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Export Sales; EU Biodiesel, Palm Oil Futures; EU Rapeseed

U.S. Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA weekly export sales report indicated U.S. exporters were quite successful selling soybeans to China and elsewhere in the week ending 7 March. Meanwhile, soymeal and soyoil export sales were relatively modest. Net soybean export sales for shipm...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

NASS has decided to no longer conduct actual field surveys in compiling production and yield estimates for corn and soybeans in the August WASDE as they are deemed too early at that time to be very meaningful. It will instead only use farmer surveys, weather/yield models and satellite data. Fie...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4-7 March 2019 Grain prices on the domestic market mainly decreased under pressure from negative trends on the export market. The average milling wheat export price dropped $2/MT to $228/MT FOB Black Sea, but purchase prices grew to $201-203/MT CPT-Black Sea port. Meanwhi...

Anti-Reform’s Fishy Excuses; Commodity Glut; Government over People

Anti-Reform’s Fishy Excuses USTR Robert Lighthizer told the Senate Finance Committee that the WTO rules are out of date and need reform. This is evidenced by reports that U.S. complaints about the self-designation of developing country status are causing collateral damage to negotiations...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Where Have All the Bulls Gone?

It has been a very tough few weeks for grain and soy market bulls, assuming there are still any left. Those markets have been in a rather steady retreat with hardly any respite, although they have managed a bounce today. Along the way, the wheat and corn markets have set a series of new contrac...

wheat feed-grains

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MIDDLE EAST/MEDITERRANEAN COMMENTS The Egyptian GASC has rejected a shipment of Romanian wheat, saying that it does not meet tender specifications. The falling number analysis shows 130 seconds, while the tender standard is 200 seconds. Falling number is important in bread baki...

China Purchasing Commitments; WTO Leverage

China Purchasing Commitments One of the Trump administration’s goals in negotiating a trade deal with China is to get Beijing’s commitment to buy more American farm products, especially soybeans as well as perhaps some sorghum and DDGS. China can only import what it needs, though, a...

wheat

Funds Slam the Markets

Last week’s Commitment of Traders (COT) report confirmed that funds (i.e., managed money) continued to expand their short positions in corn, soybeans, soymeal and wheat to either record-large levels or very nearly so. They had very little opposition to pressing the short side before last...

wheat feed-grains soy-oilseeds

Southeast Europe Regional Analysis

Milling Wheat The Black Sea market continues to erode in sympathy with the MATIF and CBOT futures. Russia has exported approximately 29.5 MMT since the start of the campaign. The weather in southern Russia and Ukraine is mild for the season. The snow is melting, and vegetation will soon resume...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soymeal

According to USDA:  Soybean crush is raised 10 million bushels to 2,100 million on higher domestic disappearance of soybean meal and a lower soybean meal extraction rate reflecting data reported by NASS in the Oilseed Crushings report.  Soybean meal price is unchanged at $295 to $335...

wheat

WASDE Wheat

According to USDA: The outlook for 2018/19 U.S. wheat this month is for larger supplies, lower exports, reduced domestic use, and higher ending stocks.  Supplies are increased by 5 million bushels on higher imports.  Wheat exports are lowered 35 million bushels to 965 million with red...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

Markets tried to be slightly better overnight and this morning in hope that today’s USDA’s reports might contain some positive news. There was nothing in the WASDE that could be considered even slightly bullish. It was the opposite as ending supplies for U.S. wheat and corn were hig...

Select Filters to Apply

  • Markets
  • Publications

Search World Perspectives

Sign In to World Perspectives

Don’t have an account yet? Sign Up