World Perspectives

Recent North America Analysis

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Soyoil, Rapeseed Rally on Demand Surge

The Market  The big movement in oilseed markets this week is the rally in soyoil futures, which are up 4 percent from last week. The market has rallied due to its large discount against palm oil futures and recent gains in rapeseed prices that are supporting oilseed and vegoils broadly. U...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Acreage, Stocks Expectations; Soyoil Scores Bullish Breakout

The CBOT bears were in control of markets again on Wednesday and drove corn and wheat futures lower with significant technical developments. Fresh news remains light but the justification for the day’s declines were expectations for USDA to report expanded corn area and larger wheat stock...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.5125/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.3525/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.01/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $293.6/short ton, down $1...

Trade War Maneuvering; MAHA HaHa; Russian Grain Agreement

Trade War Maneuvering Wall Street trading sank lower on word that the White House will announce today tariffs on automobile imports. While some U.S. farm groups are asking for import protections, others are advising a more strategic trade approach that opens up overseas markets. It is reported...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 26 March)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 21 March 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight WPI is hearing market chatter early on Friday, 21 March that there is some discussion about a six-month delay on the implementation of USTR’s Section 301 port fees for Chinese vessels. WPI...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears in Control of Grains; Cattle Futures Reclaim Early Losses

Bears were in control of the CBOT on Tuesday and sent corn, soybeans, and wheat all lower with several significant technical developments. Fresh fundamental news was hard to find for the day and that certainly contributed to the day’s weakness. Funds were solid net sellers for the second...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.5775/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.4325/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0175/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $295.1/short ton, down $...

biofuel

U.S. Manufacturing Energy Consumption

U.S. manufacturing energy consumption has continued to increase, according to the EIA’s recently released survey results for 2022. The agency conducts and releases the Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey (MECS) every four years. The latest iteration shows the third consecutive increas...

Transatlantic Provocations; Indian Adjustments; Grain Industry Threats

Transatlantic Provocations No one knows what to fully expect on 2 April and the launch of President Trump’s “Liberation Day.” Bill Reinsch at the Center for Strategic and International Studies observes that Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum likely has the best three componen...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

The big story in livestock industry margins continues to be the record-breaking weakness in beef packer profits, which fell another $50/head last week to -$193/head. The surge in cattle prices and declines in slaughter weights more than offset gains in beef values and left packers with the lowe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Consolidate; Cattle Follow Through on Bearish Reversal

The CBOT saw a mostly quiet day to start the week with grains and the oilseed complex trading mostly sideways as traders await shifts in demand or any updates on the trade policy front. Markets are in a holding pattern right now with the U.S. and Northern Hemisphere planting effort still a few...

Monday Policy Potpourri

Hill Trade Advice:  The U.S. House Ways & Means’ Trade Subcommittee holds a hearing tomorrow on American trade negotiation priorities. Witnesses include those from agriculture, those impacted by trade retaliation, services, and former Republican trade officials. The Trump Adminis...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.645/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.4825/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0725/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $297.6/short ton, down $2.7...

92 Percent of Economists Agree U.S. is in a Trade War

The U.S. has imposed tariffs widely against a host of trading partners, and those partners have retaliated with duties of their own. AgWeb's March monthly survey showed that 92 percent of economists now agree the U.S. is currently in a trade war. It’s not clear where the other 8 percent t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Day but a Hot CoF Report After the Close

The fundamentals are unchanged but there is a cloud overhead due to the impending tariff war and the headwinds that portends. So, the market today and all week is a matter of treading water until more definitive cues emerge. In fact, today was so mixed that soybeans and soyoil fell even as typi...

livestock

Cattle on Feed - March 2025

U.S. Cattle on Feed in U.S. feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head was 11.6 million head on March 1, 2025. The inventory was 2 percent below March 1, 2024.  Placements in feedlots during February totaled 1.55 million head, 18 percent below 2024.  Marketings of fed cattle during...

livestock

Cattle on Feed

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. The total inventory in feedlots of 1,000 head or more capacity is 11.6 million head, 98 percent of last year.   Placements were 1.55 million head, 82 percent of last year, and marketings at 1.74 million head were 91 percent of Fe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.6425/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5825/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0975/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $300.3/short ton, up $3.2...

livestock

Cow-Calf Revenues and Producer Responses to Inflation

Southern Plains cow-calf producers saw excellent profitability in 2024, which, by some measures, was the best in history. Current prices indicate that 2025 has similar potential to break profitability records and put the industry on solid financial footing. The impacts of inflation, however, in...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Export Sales, Weather Mix the Markets

Wheat was the ball and chain while corn was the balloon in today’s trading. The weekly USDA Export Sales report from USDA was notable for wheat with washouts in old crop sales leading to a marketing year low, but new crop sales going blockbuster as Guatemala, Mexico and Panama all sought...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for March 7-13, 2025   Wheat: Net sales reductions of 248,800 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025--a marketing-year low--were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 470,900 MT were up noticeably from the prev...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.69/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5725/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.13/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $297.1/short ton, down $0.6 fro...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Exports Stumble; China Crush Falls

The Market  The weekly Export Sales report was disappointing for soybeans as old crop net sales fell by half from the prior week and new crop net sales registered only 10 KMT – down sharply from the prior week’s volume of 43.1 KMT. Old crop exports were also lower than the prio...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: High Prices and China Persist

What a difference a year makes! No one will forget how out of balance cattle markets were in 2022 with margins steeply favoring the packer, while feedlots saw their margins shrink away into negative territory.  In fact, it was such a factor that we suffered through a year of misguided atte...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: Soyoil, Rapeseed Rally on Demand Surge

The Market  The big movement in oilseed markets this week is the rally in soyoil futures, which are up 4 percent from last week. The market has rallied due to its large discount against palm oil futures and recent gains in rapeseed prices that are supporting oilseed and vegoils broadly. U...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Fall on Acreage, Stocks Expectations; Soyoil Scores Bullish Breakout

The CBOT bears were in control of markets again on Wednesday and drove corn and wheat futures lower with significant technical developments. Fresh news remains light but the justification for the day’s declines were expectations for USDA to report expanded corn area and larger wheat stock...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.5125/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.3525/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.01/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $293.6/short ton, down $1...

Trade War Maneuvering; MAHA HaHa; Russian Grain Agreement

Trade War Maneuvering Wall Street trading sank lower on word that the White House will announce today tariffs on automobile imports. While some U.S. farm groups are asking for import protections, others are advising a more strategic trade approach that opens up overseas markets. It is reported...

FOB Prices and Freight Rates App (Updated 26 March)

Transportation and Freight Market Comments - 21 March 2025 By Matt Herrington Dry-Bulk Ocean Freight WPI is hearing market chatter early on Friday, 21 March that there is some discussion about a six-month delay on the implementation of USTR’s Section 301 port fees for Chinese vessels. WPI...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Bears in Control of Grains; Cattle Futures Reclaim Early Losses

Bears were in control of the CBOT on Tuesday and sent corn, soybeans, and wheat all lower with several significant technical developments. Fresh fundamental news was hard to find for the day and that certainly contributed to the day’s weakness. Funds were solid net sellers for the second...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.5775/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.4325/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0175/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $295.1/short ton, down $...

biofuel

U.S. Manufacturing Energy Consumption

U.S. manufacturing energy consumption has continued to increase, according to the EIA’s recently released survey results for 2022. The agency conducts and releases the Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey (MECS) every four years. The latest iteration shows the third consecutive increas...

Transatlantic Provocations; Indian Adjustments; Grain Industry Threats

Transatlantic Provocations No one knows what to fully expect on 2 April and the launch of President Trump’s “Liberation Day.” Bill Reinsch at the Center for Strategic and International Studies observes that Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum likely has the best three componen...

livestock

Livestock Industry Margins

The big story in livestock industry margins continues to be the record-breaking weakness in beef packer profits, which fell another $50/head last week to -$193/head. The surge in cattle prices and declines in slaughter weights more than offset gains in beef values and left packers with the lowe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grains Consolidate; Cattle Follow Through on Bearish Reversal

The CBOT saw a mostly quiet day to start the week with grains and the oilseed complex trading mostly sideways as traders await shifts in demand or any updates on the trade policy front. Markets are in a holding pattern right now with the U.S. and Northern Hemisphere planting effort still a few...

Monday Policy Potpourri

Hill Trade Advice:  The U.S. House Ways & Means’ Trade Subcommittee holds a hearing tomorrow on American trade negotiation priorities. Witnesses include those from agriculture, those impacted by trade retaliation, services, and former Republican trade officials. The Trump Adminis...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.645/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.4825/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0725/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $297.6/short ton, down $2.7...

92 Percent of Economists Agree U.S. is in a Trade War

The U.S. has imposed tariffs widely against a host of trading partners, and those partners have retaliated with duties of their own. AgWeb's March monthly survey showed that 92 percent of economists now agree the U.S. is currently in a trade war. It’s not clear where the other 8 percent t...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Mixed Day but a Hot CoF Report After the Close

The fundamentals are unchanged but there is a cloud overhead due to the impending tariff war and the headwinds that portends. So, the market today and all week is a matter of treading water until more definitive cues emerge. In fact, today was so mixed that soybeans and soyoil fell even as typi...

livestock

Cattle on Feed - March 2025

U.S. Cattle on Feed in U.S. feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head was 11.6 million head on March 1, 2025. The inventory was 2 percent below March 1, 2024.  Placements in feedlots during February totaled 1.55 million head, 18 percent below 2024.  Marketings of fed cattle during...

livestock

Cattle on Feed

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. The total inventory in feedlots of 1,000 head or more capacity is 11.6 million head, 98 percent of last year.   Placements were 1.55 million head, 82 percent of last year, and marketings at 1.74 million head were 91 percent of Fe...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.6425/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5825/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.0975/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $300.3/short ton, up $3.2...

livestock

Cow-Calf Revenues and Producer Responses to Inflation

Southern Plains cow-calf producers saw excellent profitability in 2024, which, by some measures, was the best in history. Current prices indicate that 2025 has similar potential to break profitability records and put the industry on solid financial footing. The impacts of inflation, however, in...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Export Sales, Weather Mix the Markets

Wheat was the ball and chain while corn was the balloon in today’s trading. The weekly USDA Export Sales report from USDA was notable for wheat with washouts in old crop sales leading to a marketing year low, but new crop sales going blockbuster as Guatemala, Mexico and Panama all sought...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for March 7-13, 2025   Wheat: Net sales reductions of 248,800 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025--a marketing-year low--were down noticeably from the previous week and from the prior 4-week average. Export shipments of 470,900 MT were up noticeably from the prev...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

May 25 Corn closed at $4.69/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Wheat closed at $5.5725/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soybeans closed at $10.13/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close.  May 25 Soymeal closed at $297.1/short ton, down $0.6 fro...

soy-oilseeds

Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Exports Stumble; China Crush Falls

The Market  The weekly Export Sales report was disappointing for soybeans as old crop net sales fell by half from the prior week and new crop net sales registered only 10 KMT – down sharply from the prior week’s volume of 43.1 KMT. Old crop exports were also lower than the prio...

livestock

Livestock Roundup: High Prices and China Persist

What a difference a year makes! No one will forget how out of balance cattle markets were in 2022 with margins steeply favoring the packer, while feedlots saw their margins shrink away into negative territory.  In fact, it was such a factor that we suffered through a year of misguided atte...

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